Football · Peru Liga 1 · 08/11, 02:30

Prediction: Cienciano vs Sport Huancayo

Team pages: Cienciano · Sport Huancayo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

Cienciano1.57

Sport Huancayo1.57

1X2

37% 27% 37%

Cienciano Draw Sport Huancayo

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Cienciano 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWLDWWLW

Sport Huancayo 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWWWWL

Head-to-head

Cienciano 4–1–1 Sport Huancayo (6 last)

Sport Huancayo2-2Cienciano
Sport Huancayo5-2Cienciano
Cienciano2-1Sport Huancayo
Cienciano3-1Sport Huancayo
Sport Huancayo1-2Cienciano
Cienciano1-0Sport Huancayo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cienciano 1493 · Sport Huancayo 1551

	Cienciano	Draw	Sport Huancayo
Our model	37%	26%	37%
Market	36%	28%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sport Huancayo (rating 1493 vs 1551).
H2H favours Cienciano: 4-1-1.
High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cienciano	Sport Huancayo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.5	1.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.2	3.7 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.5	5.4 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.30

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7%

Time*	1	X	2
19:36 +1’	2.55	3.30	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cienciano 4–1–1 Sport Huancayo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Peru Liga 1	Sport Huancayo	2-2 HT 0-0	Cienciano
22/09/25 Peru Liga 1	Sport Huancayo	5-2 HT 3-2	Cienciano
29/04/25 Peru Liga 1	Cienciano	2-1 HT 1-0	Sport Huancayo
19/09/24 Peru Liga 1	Cienciano	3-1 HT 2-0	Sport Huancayo
12/04/24 Peru Liga 1	Sport Huancayo	1-2 HT 1-0	Cienciano
22/07/23 Peru Liga 1	Cienciano	1-0 HT 1-0	Sport Huancayo

Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	31	19	8	4	52	23	65
2	Universitario de Deportes	31	17	8	6	55	35	59
3	FBC Melgar	31	15	9	7	54	35	54
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	31	15	6	10	47	33	51
5	Cusco FC	32	16	3	13	46	44	51
6	Cienciano	31	15	5	11	53	43	50
7	Alianza Atletico	32	14	7	11	49	46	49
8	Sporting Cristal	31	14	5	12	57	47	47
9	CD Los Chankas	32	13	8	11	39	51	47
10	Sport Huancayo	31	13	5	13	44	48	44
11	Juan Pablo II College	32	11	8	13	47	57	41
12	Sport Boys	31	12	8	11	35	33	40
13	Comerciantes Unidos	31	8	11	12	42	45	35
14	Atletico Grau	32	9	7	16	29	41	34
15	AD Tarma	31	7	9	15	33	45	29
16	Deportivo Moquegua	32	7	8	17	25	46	29
17	FC Cajamarca	31	7	7	17	44	60	26
18	UTC Cajamarca	31	5	8	18	36	55	13

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cienciano	Sport Huancayo
Comerciantes Unidos	1-3 L	1-0 W
UTC Cajamarca	1-0 W	3-2 W
Deportivo Moquegua	2-0 W	0-2 L
AD Tarma	1-2 L	3-1 W
Cusco FC	1-2 L	2-1 W
Sport Boys	1-5 L	2-1 W
Deportivo Garcilaso	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	6 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sport Huancayo (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cienciano

DLLWLDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1	0-0	3-0	7	3	W
25/10	Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1	0-1	1-3	1	6	L
19/10	UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
08/10	Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1	2-0	2-0	9	3	W
30/09	CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1	0-0	1-1	10	6	D
23/09	AD Tarma Peru Liga 1	1-0	1-2	7	7	L
04/09	FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1	3-2	5-2	3	2	W
31/08	Cusco FC Peru Liga 1	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
23/08	Sport Boys Peru Liga 1	1-3	1-5	8	2	L
17/08	Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1	0-0	0-0	6	8	D

Sport Huancayo

LLWWWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1	0-0	0-2	6	4	L
24/10	Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1	4-0	4-1	6	2	W
16/10	Cusco FC Peru Liga 1	0-1	2-1	9	7	W
10/10	Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1	1-0	1-0	5	7	W
20/09	UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1	2-1	3-2	7	6	W
12/09	Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1	0-0	1-0	8	8	W
05/09	Sport Boys Peru Liga 1	1-0	2-1	9	8	W
30/08	AD Tarma Peru Liga 1	3-0	3-1	0	10	W
22/08	Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1	0-1	0-2	10	5	L
16/08	Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1	0-2	1-4	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cienciano vs Sport Huancayo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cienciano win (37%). Probabilities: Cienciano 37%, draw 27%, Sport Huancayo 37%.

How many goals are expected in Cienciano vs Sport Huancayo?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Cienciano 1.57 · Sport Huancayo 1.57), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Cienciano vs Sport Huancayo?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.