Football · Colombia Primera A · 07/11, 22:05
Prediction: Once Caldas vs Aguilas Doradas
Team pages: Once Caldas · Aguilas Doradas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Once Caldas1.53
Aguilas Doradas0.9
1X2
Once Caldas
Draw
Aguilas Doradas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Once Caldas
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Aguilas Doradas
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Once Caldas
2–2–2
Aguilas Doradas
(6 last)
- Aguilas Doradas2-2Once Caldas
- Once Caldas1-1Aguilas Doradas
- Aguilas Doradas0-1Once Caldas
- Once Caldas1-0Aguilas Doradas
- Aguilas Doradas1-0Once Caldas
- Aguilas Doradas2-1Once Caldas
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Once Caldas (rating 1544 vs 1504).
- Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Once Caldas | Aguilas Doradas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.7 | 2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.2 | 6.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Once Caldas 2–2–2 Aguilas Doradas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Colombia Primera A | Aguilas Doradas | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Once Caldas |
| 09/08/25 Colombia Primera A | Once Caldas | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Aguilas Doradas |
| 23/02/25 Colombia Primera A | Aguilas Doradas | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Once Caldas |
| 21/07/24 Colombia Primera A | Once Caldas | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Aguilas Doradas |
| 26/01/24 Colombia Primera A | Aguilas Doradas | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Once Caldas |
| 05/08/23 Colombia Primera A | Aguilas Doradas | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Once Caldas |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 35 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 31 | 12 | 34 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 10 | 33 |
| 4 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 16 | 28 |
| 5 | Independiente Santa Fe | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 28 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 26 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 25 | 26 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 24 |
| 9 | Aguilas Doradas | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 22 |
| 10 | Cucuta Deportivo | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 24 | 21 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 20 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 23 | 20 |
| 14 | Alianza | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 18 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 17 |
| 16 | Junior | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 27 | 16 |
| 17 | Boyaca Chico | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza CEIF | 16 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 24 | 12 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 12 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Once Caldas | Aguilas Doradas |
|---|---|---|
| Alianza | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Deportivo Pereira | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Atletico Bucaramanga | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Deportes Tolima | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Deportivo Cali | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Once Caldas (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Once Caldas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 25/10 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 7 | D |
| 21/10 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 18/10 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 10/10 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 04/10 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/09 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 17/09 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 14/09 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Aguilas Doradas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 24/10 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 18/10 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 14/10 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 10/10 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 11 | D |
| 03/10 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 28/09 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/09 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 18/09 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 13/09 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Once Caldas vs Aguilas Doradas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Once Caldas win (51%). Probabilities: Once Caldas 51%, draw 28%, Aguilas Doradas 21%.
How many goals are expected in Once Caldas vs Aguilas Doradas?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Once Caldas 1.53 · Aguilas Doradas 0.9), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Once Caldas vs Aguilas Doradas?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.