Football · Colombia Primera A · 08/11, 22:05
Prediction: Jaguares de Cordoba vs Atletico Bucaramanga
Team pages: Jaguares de Cordoba · Atletico Bucaramanga
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
Jaguares de Cordoba1.06
Atletico Bucaramanga1.75
1X2
Jaguares de Cordoba
Draw
Atletico Bucaramanga
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Jaguares de Cordoba
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Atletico Bucaramanga
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Jaguares de Cordoba
0–3–3
Atletico Bucaramanga
(6 last)
- Atletico Bucaramanga2-2Jaguares de Cordoba
- Atletico Bucaramanga0-0Jaguares de Cordoba
- Jaguares de Cordoba0-1Atletico Bucaramanga
- Atletico Bucaramanga3-0Jaguares de Cordoba
- Jaguares de Cordoba1-1Atletico Bucaramanga
- Jaguares de Cordoba0-1Atletico Bucaramanga
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jaguares de Cordoba 1444 · Atletico Bucaramanga 1520
| Jaguares de Cordoba | Draw | Atletico Bucaramanga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 26% | 52% |
| Market | 22% | 26% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico Bucaramanga (rating 1444 vs 1520).
- H2H favours Atletico Bucaramanga: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jaguares de Cordoba | Atletico Bucaramanga | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.9 | 1.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.3 | 2 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.2 / 0.3 | 5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jaguares de Cordoba 0–3–3 Atletico Bucaramanga
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Colombia Primera A | Atletico Bucaramanga | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Jaguares de Cordoba |
| 28/07/24 Colombia Primera A | Atletico Bucaramanga | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Jaguares de Cordoba |
| 03/02/24 Colombia Primera A | Jaguares de Cordoba | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Atletico Bucaramanga |
| 08/08/23 Colombia Primera A | Atletico Bucaramanga | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Jaguares de Cordoba |
| 11/02/23 Colombia Primera A | Jaguares de Cordoba | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Atletico Bucaramanga |
| 21/09/22 Colombia Primera A | Jaguares de Cordoba | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico Bucaramanga |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 39 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 12 | 36 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 10 | 34 |
| 4 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 29 |
| 6 | Independiente Santa Fe | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 28 |
| 7 | Millonarios | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 27 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 27 |
| 9 | Aguilas Doradas | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 25 |
| 10 | Cucuta Deportivo | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 24 | 24 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 23 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 25 | 20 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 23 | 20 |
| 14 | Boyaca Chico | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 19 |
| 15 | Alianza | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 18 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 17 |
| 17 | Junior | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 27 | 16 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 24 | 15 |
| 19 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 13 |
| 20 | Fortaleza CEIF | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 28 | 12 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jaguares de Cordoba | Atletico Bucaramanga |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Pasto | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Independiente Santa Fe | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Aguilas Doradas | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Independiente Medellin | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Atletico Bucaramanga (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jaguares de Cordoba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 30/10 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 27/10 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 22/10 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 11 | L |
| 11/10 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 03/10 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 27/09 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 23/09 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
Atletico Bucaramanga
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 31/10 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 27/10 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 24/10 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 14/10 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 05/10 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
3-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 18/09 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jaguares de Cordoba vs Atletico Bucaramanga?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Atletico Bucaramanga win (52%). Probabilities: Jaguares de Cordoba 22%, draw 26%, Atletico Bucaramanga 52%.
How many goals are expected in Jaguares de Cordoba vs Atletico Bucaramanga?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Jaguares de Cordoba 1.06 · Atletico Bucaramanga 1.75), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Jaguares de Cordoba vs Atletico Bucaramanga?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.