Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 29/10, 00:30
Prediction: Metropolitanos FC vs Portuguesa
Team pages: Metropolitanos FC · Portuguesa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Metropolitanos FC1.76
Portuguesa1.15
1X2
Metropolitanos FC
Draw
Portuguesa
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Metropolitanos FC
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Portuguesa
1-7-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Metropolitanos FC
3–1–2
Portuguesa
(6 last)
- Portuguesa2-2Metropolitanos FC
- Metropolitanos FC3-2Portuguesa
- Metropolitanos FC5-1Portuguesa
- Portuguesa2-1Metropolitanos FC
- Metropolitanos FC2-1Portuguesa
- Portuguesa3-1Metropolitanos FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Metropolitanos FC 1592 · Portuguesa 1458
| Metropolitanos FC | Draw | Portuguesa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 26% | 24% |
| Market | 49% | 28% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Metropolitanos FC (rating 1592 vs 1458).
- H2H favours Metropolitanos FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Metropolitanos FC | Portuguesa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.1 | 1.8 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 6.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Metropolitanos FC 3–1–2 Portuguesa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Portuguesa | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Metropolitanos FC |
| 08/03/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Portuguesa |
| 28/09/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 5-1 HT 1-0 | Portuguesa |
| 21/04/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Portuguesa | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Metropolitanos FC |
| 13/09/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Portuguesa |
| 20/03/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Portuguesa | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Metropolitanos FC |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura, Main Round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carabobo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Deportivo La Guaira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 2 | Metropolitanos FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | Portuguesa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Metropolitanos FC | Portuguesa |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Guaira | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Estudiantes Merida | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Zamora | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Caracas | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Monagas | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 5 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Metropolitanos FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Metropolitanos FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 18/10 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 11/10 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 20/09 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 17/09 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 04/09 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 31/08 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
Portuguesa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 18/10 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 20/09 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 16/09 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 10 | W |
| 13/09 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 06/09 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 03/09 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 31/08 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Metropolitanos FC vs Portuguesa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Metropolitanos FC win (50%). Probabilities: Metropolitanos FC 50%, draw 27%, Portuguesa 23%.
How many goals are expected in Metropolitanos FC vs Portuguesa?
The model expects 2.9 goals (Metropolitanos FC 1.76 · Portuguesa 1.15), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Metropolitanos FC vs Portuguesa?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.