Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 07/11, 22:30

Prediction: Caracas vs Academia Puerto Cabello

Team pages: Caracas · Academia Puerto Cabello

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
Caracas1.26
Academia Puerto Cabello1.19
1X2
37% 30% 33%
Caracas Draw Academia Puerto Cabello
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Caracas 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WLLDWWLWLW
Academia Puerto Cabello 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DLDWWDWLLL
Head-to-head
Caracas 1–4–1 Academia Puerto Cabello (6 last)
  • Academia Puerto Cabello0-1Caracas
  • Academia Puerto Cabello3-1Caracas
  • Caracas1-1Academia Puerto Cabello
  • Academia Puerto Cabello0-0Caracas
  • Caracas0-0Academia Puerto Cabello
  • Caracas0-0Academia Puerto Cabello
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Caracas 1514 · Academia Puerto Cabello 1507
CaracasDrawAcademia Puerto Cabello
Our model37%30%33%
Market37%30%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CaracasAcademia Puerto Cabello
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.21.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.60.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 5.33.7 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 0.44.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Caracas 1–4–1 Academia Puerto Cabello

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/10/26
Venezuela Primera Division
Academia Puerto Cabello0-1
HT 0-0
Caracas
07/08/26
Venezuela Primera Division
Academia Puerto Cabello3-1
HT 1-0
Caracas
07/02/26
Venezuela Primera Division
Caracas1-1
HT 1-1
Academia Puerto Cabello
25/08/25
Venezuela Primera Division
Academia Puerto Cabello0-0
HT 0-0
Caracas
15/03/25
Venezuela Primera Division
Caracas0-0
HT 0-0
Academia Puerto Cabello
04/09/24
Venezuela Primera Division
Caracas0-0
HT 0-0
Academia Puerto Cabello

Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura, Main Round, Group B

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Deportivo Tachira 440 8312
2 Caracas 422 656
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 413 463
4 Monagas 413 483

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCaracasAcademia Puerto Cabello
Monagas 2-0 W 2-1 W
Deportivo Tachira 1-2 L 2-3 L
Trujillanos 1-0 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Caracas (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Caracas

WLLDWWLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/11 Monagas
Venezuela Primera Division
0-0 2-0 67 W
01/11 Monagas
Venezuela Primera Division
2-1 2-3 37 L
27/10 Academia Puerto Cabello
Venezuela Primera Division
0-0 1-0 46 W
25/10 Deportivo Tachira
Venezuela Primera Division
1-1 1-2 26 L
18/10 Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Venezuela Primera Division
1-0 2-1 105 W
11/10 Zamora
Venezuela Primera Division
4-1 4-1 33 W
20/09 Academia Anzoategui FC
Venezuela Primera Division
1-1 1-1 83 D
17/09 Metropolitanos FC
Venezuela Primera Division
0-1 0-3 73 L
13/09 Monagas
Venezuela Primera Division
0-1 0-1 58 L
06/09 Trujillanos
Venezuela Primera Division
0-0 1-0 54 W

Academia Puerto Cabello

DLDWWDWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/11 Deportivo Tachira
Venezuela Primera Division
1-1 2-3 107 L
31/10 Deportivo Tachira
Venezuela Primera Division
0-0 0-1 94 L
27/10 Caracas
Venezuela Primera Division
0-0 0-1 66 L
24/10 Monagas
Venezuela Primera Division
1-0 2-1 27 W
18/10 Monagas
Venezuela Primera Division
2-1 3-3 20 D
11/10 Trujillanos
Venezuela Primera Division
0-0 1-0 84 W
20/09 Portuguesa
Venezuela Primera Division
1-1 2-1 156 W
16/09 Deportivo Tachira
Venezuela Primera Division
1-0 1-1 36 D
13/09 Carabobo
Venezuela Primera Division
0-0 0-2 50 L
08/09 UCV
Venezuela Primera Division
0-0 0-0 84 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Caracas vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Caracas win (37%). Probabilities: Caracas 37%, draw 30%, Academia Puerto Cabello 33%.

How many goals are expected in Caracas vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

The model expects 2.46 goals (Caracas 1.26 · Academia Puerto Cabello 1.19), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Caracas vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.