Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 05/11, 00:30
Prediction: Metropolitanos FC vs Carabobo
Team pages: Metropolitanos FC · Carabobo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Metropolitanos FC1.19
Carabobo1.57
1X2
Metropolitanos FC
Draw
Carabobo
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Metropolitanos FC
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Carabobo
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Metropolitanos FC
0–3–3
Carabobo
(6 last)
- Carabobo1-1Metropolitanos FC
- Carabobo1-0Metropolitanos FC
- Metropolitanos FC1-5Carabobo
- Carabobo0-0Metropolitanos FC
- Metropolitanos FC1-1Carabobo
- Metropolitanos FC0-4Carabobo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Metropolitanos FC 1542 · Carabobo 1591
| Metropolitanos FC | Draw | Carabobo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 27% | 45% |
| Market | 28% | 27% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carabobo (rating 1542 vs 1591).
- H2H favours Carabobo: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Metropolitanos FC | Carabobo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.7 | 1.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.1 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.6 | 2.6 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 5.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Metropolitanos FC 0–3–3 Carabobo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Carabobo | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Metropolitanos FC |
| 17/08/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Carabobo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Metropolitanos FC |
| 31/05/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 1-5 HT 0-0 | Carabobo |
| 04/05/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Carabobo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Metropolitanos FC |
| 20/02/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Carabobo |
| 06/11/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Carabobo |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura, Main Round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carabobo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Metropolitanos FC | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Deportivo La Guaira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| 4 | Portuguesa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Metropolitanos FC | Carabobo |
|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Deportivo La Guaira | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Estudiantes Merida | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 4-0 W | 3-4 L |
| Academia Anzoategui FC | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 0 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Carabobo (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Metropolitanos FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 29/10 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 26/10 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 18/10 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 11/10 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 20/09 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 17/09 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 04/09 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
Carabobo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 29/10 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 25/10 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 10 | W |
| 18/10 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 11/10 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 11 | D |
| 16/09 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 13/09 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 08/09 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 03/09 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Metropolitanos FC vs Carabobo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Carabobo win (45%). Probabilities: Metropolitanos FC 28%, draw 27%, Carabobo 45%.
How many goals are expected in Metropolitanos FC vs Carabobo?
The model expects 2.75 goals (Metropolitanos FC 1.19 · Carabobo 1.57), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Metropolitanos FC vs Carabobo?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.