Prediction: Monagas vs Deportivo Tachira
Team pages: Monagas · Deportivo Tachira
- Deportivo Tachira2-0Monagas
- Deportivo Tachira1-1Monagas
- Deportivo Tachira3-2Monagas
- Monagas2-3Deportivo Tachira
- Deportivo Tachira0-1Monagas
- Monagas1-0Deportivo Tachira
| Monagas | Draw | Deportivo Tachira | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 24% | 55% |
| Market | 21% | 24% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Tachira (rating 1482 vs 1594).
- H2H favours Deportivo Tachira: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Monagas | Deportivo Tachira | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 2.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.4 | 2.5 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.3 / 0.2 | 5.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Monagas 2–1–3 Deportivo Tachira
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Tachira | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Monagas |
| 22/10/26 Venezuela Cup | Deportivo Tachira | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Monagas |
| 16/08/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Tachira | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Monagas |
| 23/02/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Monagas | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Deportivo Tachira |
| 04/09/25 Venezuela Cup | Deportivo Tachira | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Monagas |
| 20/08/25 Venezuela Cup | Monagas | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Tachira |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura, Main Round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Tachira | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Caracas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 4 | Monagas | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Monagas | Deportivo Tachira |
|---|---|---|
| Caracas | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Academia Puerto Cabello | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Estudiantes Merida | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Tachira (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Monagas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 01/11 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 28/10 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 24/10 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 18/10 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 12/10 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 19/09 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 17/09 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
Deportivo Tachira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 31/10 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 28/10 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 25/10 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 18/10 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 11/10 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
3-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 16/09 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 06/09 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Monagas vs Deportivo Tachira?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Tachira win (54%). Probabilities: Monagas 21%, draw 24%, Deportivo Tachira 54%.
How many goals are expected in Monagas vs Deportivo Tachira?
The model expects 3.15 goals (Monagas 1.18 · Deportivo Tachira 1.97), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Monagas vs Deportivo Tachira?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.