Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 02/11, 00:30
Prediction: Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa
Team pages: Deportivo La Guaira · Portuguesa
See it on the live radar ↗
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.19Total
Deportivo La Guaira1.25
Portuguesa0.94
1X2
Deportivo La Guaira
Draw
Portuguesa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo La Guaira
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Portuguesa
1-7-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo La Guaira
2–4–0
Portuguesa
(6 last)
- Portuguesa0-0Deportivo La Guaira
- Portuguesa0-2Deportivo La Guaira
- Deportivo La Guaira1-1Portuguesa
- Deportivo La Guaira0-0Portuguesa
- Deportivo La Guaira3-1Portuguesa
- Deportivo La Guaira1-1Portuguesa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo La Guaira 1463 · Portuguesa 1456
| Deportivo La Guaira | Draw | Portuguesa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 31% | 26% |
| Market | 44% | 28% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportivo La Guaira: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo La Guaira | Portuguesa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.4 | 1.9 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0 | 6.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo La Guaira 2–4–0 Portuguesa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Portuguesa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo La Guaira |
| 24/05/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Portuguesa | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Deportivo La Guaira |
| 09/05/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo La Guaira | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Portuguesa |
| 21/04/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo La Guaira | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Portuguesa |
| 31/08/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo La Guaira | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Portuguesa |
| 09/06/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo La Guaira | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Portuguesa |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura, Main Round, Group A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carabobo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Metropolitanos FC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 3 | Deportivo La Guaira | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 4 | Portuguesa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo La Guaira | Portuguesa |
|---|---|---|
| Carabobo | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Metropolitanos FC | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| UCV | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Academia Puerto Cabello | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Estudiantes Merida | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Portuguesa (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo La Guaira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 26/10 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 17/10 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 20/09 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 16/09 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 04/09 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 31/08 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
Portuguesa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 25/10 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 18/10 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 20/09 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 16/09 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 10 | W |
| 13/09 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 06/09 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 03/09 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 31/08 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo La Guaira win (43%). Probabilities: Deportivo La Guaira 43%, draw 30%, Portuguesa 27%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa?
The model expects 2.19 goals (Deportivo La Guaira 1.25 · Portuguesa 0.94), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.