Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 08/11, 22:00
Prediction: Portuguesa vs Metropolitanos FC
Team pages: Portuguesa · Metropolitanos FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
Portuguesa1.32
Metropolitanos FC1.35
1X2
Portuguesa
Draw
Metropolitanos FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Portuguesa
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Metropolitanos FC
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Portuguesa
1–2–3
Metropolitanos FC
(6 last)
- Metropolitanos FC0-0Portuguesa
- Portuguesa2-2Metropolitanos FC
- Metropolitanos FC3-2Portuguesa
- Metropolitanos FC5-1Portuguesa
- Portuguesa2-1Metropolitanos FC
- Metropolitanos FC2-1Portuguesa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Portuguesa 1442 · Metropolitanos FC 1554
| Portuguesa | Draw | Metropolitanos FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 28% | 37% |
| Market | 35% | 28% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Metropolitanos FC (rating 1442 vs 1554).
- H2H favours Metropolitanos FC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Portuguesa | Metropolitanos FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.3 | 2.3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.5 / 0.8 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Portuguesa 1–2–3 Metropolitanos FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Portuguesa |
| 31/08/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Portuguesa | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Metropolitanos FC |
| 08/03/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Portuguesa |
| 28/09/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 5-1 HT 1-0 | Portuguesa |
| 21/04/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Portuguesa | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Metropolitanos FC |
| 13/09/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Portuguesa |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura, Main Round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carabobo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Deportivo La Guaira | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 |
| 3 | Metropolitanos FC | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 4 | Portuguesa | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Portuguesa | Metropolitanos FC |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Guaira | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Carabobo | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Estudiantes Merida | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Zamora | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Metropolitanos FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Portuguesa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 13 | 11 | L |
| 02/11 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 29/10 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 25/10 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 18/10 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 20/09 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 16/09 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 10 | W |
| 13/09 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 06/09 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
Metropolitanos FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 02/11 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 29/10 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 26/10 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 18/10 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 11/10 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 20/09 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 17/09 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Portuguesa vs Metropolitanos FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Metropolitanos FC win (37%). Probabilities: Portuguesa 35%, draw 28%, Metropolitanos FC 37%.
How many goals are expected in Portuguesa vs Metropolitanos FC?
The model expects 2.68 goals (Portuguesa 1.32 · Metropolitanos FC 1.35), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Portuguesa vs Metropolitanos FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.