Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 28/10, 22:30
Prediction: Carabobo vs Deportivo La Guaira
Team pages: Carabobo · Deportivo La Guaira
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.39Total
Carabobo1.66
Deportivo La Guaira0.73
1X2
Carabobo
Draw
Deportivo La Guaira
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Carabobo
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Deportivo La Guaira
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Carabobo
2–4–0
Deportivo La Guaira
(6 last)
- Carabobo1-0Deportivo La Guaira
- Deportivo La Guaira1-1Carabobo
- Carabobo0-0Deportivo La Guaira
- Deportivo La Guaira0-0Carabobo
- Carabobo1-1Deportivo La Guaira
- Deportivo La Guaira0-1Carabobo
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carabobo (rating 1556 vs 1472).
- H2H favours Carabobo: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Carabobo | Deportivo La Guaira | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.6 | 1.1 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.3 | 6.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Carabobo 2–4–0 Deportivo La Guaira
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Carabobo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo La Guaira |
| 03/04/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo La Guaira | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Carabobo |
| 28/09/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Carabobo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo La Guaira |
| 18/04/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo La Guaira | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Carabobo |
| 10/11/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Carabobo | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo La Guaira |
| 04/11/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo La Guaira | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Carabobo |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura, Main Round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carabobo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Deportivo La Guaira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 2 | Metropolitanos FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | Portuguesa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Carabobo | Deportivo La Guaira |
|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo Tachira | 2-2 D | 2-4 L |
| Academia Anzoategui FC | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| UCV | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Academia Puerto Cabello | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Estudiantes Merida | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 3-4 L | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Carabobo (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carabobo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 10 | W |
| 18/10 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 11/10 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 11 | D |
| 16/09 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 13/09 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 08/09 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 03/09 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 31/08 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
Deportivo La Guaira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 17/10 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 20/09 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 16/09 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 04/09 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 31/08 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 4-1 | 0 | 12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carabobo vs Deportivo La Guaira?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Carabobo win (58%). Probabilities: Carabobo 58%, draw 26%, Deportivo La Guaira 15%.
How many goals are expected in Carabobo vs Deportivo La Guaira?
The model expects 2.39 goals (Carabobo 1.66 · Deportivo La Guaira 0.73), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Carabobo vs Deportivo La Guaira?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.