Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 27/10, 22:30
Prediction: Academia Puerto Cabello vs Caracas
Team pages: Academia Puerto Cabello · Caracas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Academia Puerto Cabello1.6
Caracas0.88
1X2
Academia Puerto Cabello
Draw
Caracas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Academia Puerto Cabello
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Caracas
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Academia Puerto Cabello
2–4–0
Caracas
(6 last)
- Academia Puerto Cabello3-1Caracas
- Caracas1-1Academia Puerto Cabello
- Academia Puerto Cabello0-0Caracas
- Caracas0-0Academia Puerto Cabello
- Caracas0-0Academia Puerto Cabello
- Academia Puerto Cabello2-0Caracas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Academia Puerto Cabello 1558 · Caracas 1507
| Academia Puerto Cabello | Draw | Caracas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 27% | 19% |
| Market | 53% | 27% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Academia Puerto Cabello (rating 1558 vs 1507).
- H2H favours Academia Puerto Cabello: 2-4-0.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Academia Puerto Cabello | Caracas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.8 | 2.9 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Academia Puerto Cabello 2–4–0 Caracas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Academia Puerto Cabello | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Caracas |
| 07/02/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Caracas | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Academia Puerto Cabello |
| 25/08/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Academia Puerto Cabello | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Caracas |
| 15/03/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Caracas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Academia Puerto Cabello |
| 04/09/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Caracas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Academia Puerto Cabello |
| 17/03/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Academia Puerto Cabello | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Caracas |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura, Main Round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 1 | Deportivo Tachira | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Caracas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 3 | Monagas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Academia Puerto Cabello | Caracas |
|---|---|---|
| Monagas | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Trujillanos | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Portuguesa | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Tachira | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Carabobo | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Academia Anzoategui FC | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Academia Puerto Cabello (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Academia Puerto Cabello
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 18/10 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 11/10 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 15 | 6 | W |
| 16/09 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 08/09 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 04/09 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 01/09 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
Caracas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 18/10 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
4-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 17/09 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/09 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 30/08 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Academia Puerto Cabello vs Caracas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Academia Puerto Cabello win (53%). Probabilities: Academia Puerto Cabello 53%, draw 27%, Caracas 20%.
How many goals are expected in Academia Puerto Cabello vs Caracas?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Academia Puerto Cabello 1.6 · Caracas 0.88), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Academia Puerto Cabello vs Caracas?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.