Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 31/10, 22:30

Prediction: Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Tachira

Team pages: Academia Puerto Cabello · Deportivo Tachira

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

Academia Puerto Cabello1.47

Deportivo Tachira1.31

1X2

39% 28% 32%

Academia Puerto Cabello Draw Deportivo Tachira

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Academia Puerto Cabello 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDDLDWWDWL

Deportivo Tachira 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWLDWWDWW

Head-to-head

Academia Puerto Cabello 1–2–3 Deportivo Tachira (6 last)

Deportivo Tachira1-1Academia Puerto Cabello
Academia Puerto Cabello1-2Deportivo Tachira
Deportivo Tachira0-0Academia Puerto Cabello
Deportivo Tachira2-0Academia Puerto Cabello
Academia Puerto Cabello1-2Deportivo Tachira
Academia Puerto Cabello3-2Deportivo Tachira

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Academia Puerto Cabello 1520 · Deportivo Tachira 1578

	Academia Puerto Cabello	Draw	Deportivo Tachira
Our model	40%	28%	33%
Market	39%	29%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Tachira (rating 1520 vs 1578).
H2H favours Deportivo Tachira: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Academia Puerto Cabello	Deportivo Tachira
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	2.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6	2.6 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.1	5.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.10

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
22:24 +21’	2.30	3.10	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Academia Puerto Cabello 1–2–3 Deportivo Tachira

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/09/26 Venezuela Primera Division	Deportivo Tachira	1-1 HT 0-1	Academia Puerto Cabello
05/04/26 Venezuela Primera Division	Academia Puerto Cabello	1-2 HT 0-1	Deportivo Tachira
22/09/25 Venezuela Primera Division	Deportivo Tachira	0-0 HT 0-0	Academia Puerto Cabello
07/06/25 Venezuela Primera Division	Deportivo Tachira	2-0 HT 2-0	Academia Puerto Cabello
03/05/25 Venezuela Primera Division	Academia Puerto Cabello	1-2 HT 1-0	Deportivo Tachira
14/04/25 Venezuela Primera Division	Academia Puerto Cabello	3-2 HT 1-2	Deportivo Tachira

Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura, Main Round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Tachira	2	2	0	4	1	6
2	Academia Puerto Cabello	2	1	1	2	2	3
2	Caracas	2	1	1	2	2	3
4	Monagas	2	0	2	1	4	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Academia Puerto Cabello	Deportivo Tachira
Caracas	0-1 L	2-1 W
Monagas	2-1 W	2-0 W
Carabobo	0-2 L	2-2 D
UCV	0-0 D	4-1 W
Deportivo La Guaira	1-1 D	4-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Tachira (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Academia Puerto Cabello

WDDLDWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Caracas Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
24/10	Monagas Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	2-1	2	7	W
18/10	Monagas Venezuela Primera Division	2-1	3-3	2	0	D
11/10	Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
20/09	Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division	1-1	2-1	15	6	W
16/09	Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
13/09	Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-2	5	0	L
08/09	UCV Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
04/09	Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
01/09	Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division	2-0	3-0	4	7	W

Deportivo Tachira

DWWLDWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	Monagas Venezuela Primera Division	2-0	2-0	6	9	W
25/10	Caracas Venezuela Primera Division	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
18/10	Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	2-2	7	3	D
11/10	UCV Venezuela Primera Division	1-1	4-1	5	5	W
20/09	Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division	3-1	4-2	3	6	W
16/09	Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
12/09	Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-2	7	7	L
06/09	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division	1-1	3-1	7	3	W
02/09	Zamora Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	5-2	2	4	W
30/08	Caracas Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-0	3	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Tachira?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Academia Puerto Cabello win (39%). Probabilities: Academia Puerto Cabello 39%, draw 28%, Deportivo Tachira 32%.

How many goals are expected in Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Tachira?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Academia Puerto Cabello 1.47 · Deportivo Tachira 1.31), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Tachira?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.