Football · Panama LPF · 24/10, 03:30

Prediction: CD Arabe Unido vs UMECIT

Team pages: CD Arabe Unido · UMECIT

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.08Total

CD Arabe Unido1.15

UMECIT0.94

1X2

40% 31% 29%

CD Arabe Unido Draw UMECIT

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Arabe Unido 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDWWWWDL

UMECIT 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLLDWWWLWW

Head-to-head

CD Arabe Unido 1–3–2 UMECIT (6 last)

UMECIT0-0CD Arabe Unido
CD Arabe Unido1-1UMECIT
UMECIT1-0CD Arabe Unido
CD Arabe Unido1-1UMECIT
UMECIT1-0CD Arabe Unido
UMECIT0-1CD Arabe Unido

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Arabe Unido 1549 · UMECIT 1525

	CD Arabe Unido	Draw	UMECIT
Our model	39%	33%	28%
Market	41%	30%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours UMECIT: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Arabe Unido	UMECIT
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.7	1.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.3	2.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.4 / 0.5	5.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.00

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
20:22 +11’	2.20	3.00	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Arabe Unido 1–3–2 UMECIT

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/08/26 Panama LPF	UMECIT	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Arabe Unido
19/04/26 Panama LPF	CD Arabe Unido	1-1 HT 0-0	UMECIT
20/01/26 Panama LPF	UMECIT	1-0 HT 1-0	CD Arabe Unido
19/10/25 Panama LPF	CD Arabe Unido	1-1 HT 0-0	UMECIT
29/07/25 Panama LPF	UMECIT	1-0 HT 0-0	CD Arabe Unido
10/03/25 Panama LPF	UMECIT	0-1 HT 0-1	CD Arabe Unido

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Plaza Amador	12	8	3	1	28	16	27
2	CD Arabe Unido	12	6	4	2	16	10	22
3	UMECIT	12	5	4	3	12	10	19
4	Tauro FC	12	5	2	5	18	13	17
5	Alianza FC Panama	12	3	5	4	12	12	14
6	Sporting San Miguelito	12	3	4	5	12	15	13

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Arabe Unido	UMECIT
Plaza Amador	0-2 L	0-3 L
CA Independiente de la Chorrera	1-1 D	2-0 W
Herrera FC	2-1 W	3-1 W
San Francisco FC	2-1 W	1-0 W
Union Cocle	4-1 W	1-0 W
Veraguas CD	3-1 W	1-1 D
CD Universitario	0-0 D	1-2 L
Sporting San Miguelito	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CD Arabe Unido (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Arabe Unido

DWWDWWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-1	0-2	5	8	L
05/10	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	1-1	1-1	2	9	D
26/09	Herrera FC Panama LPF	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
19/09	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-1	2-1	2	7	W
12/09	Union Cocle Panama LPF	1-0	4-1	7	4	W
05/09	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	2-0	3-1	7	7	W
30/08	CD Universitario Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
22/08	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	1-0	1-0	0	6	W
18/08	Tauro FC Panama LPF	1-0	1-0	4	8	W
09/08	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	7	8	D

UMECIT

DLLDWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
03/10	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-0	1-0	7	6	W
27/09	CD Universitario Panama LPF	0-0	1-2	8	7	L
22/09	Union Cocle Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
13/09	Herrera FC Panama LPF	3-1	3-1	2	5	W
08/09	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	0-0	2-0	6	5	W
01/09	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	0	6	D
24/08	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-0	0-3	1	2	L
16/08	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
09/08	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	2	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Arabe Unido vs UMECIT?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Arabe Unido win (40%). Probabilities: CD Arabe Unido 40%, draw 31%, UMECIT 29%.

How many goals are expected in CD Arabe Unido vs UMECIT?

The model expects 2.08 goals (CD Arabe Unido 1.15 · UMECIT 0.94), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Arabe Unido vs UMECIT?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.