Football · Panama LPF · 25/10, 02:30

Prediction: Tauro FC vs Plaza Amador

Team pages: Tauro FC · Plaza Amador

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

Tauro FC1.23

Plaza Amador1.63

1X2

28% 26% 46%

Tauro FC Draw Plaza Amador

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Tauro FC 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWWLLW

Plaza Amador 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLWDDWWW

Head-to-head

Tauro FC 1–1–4 Plaza Amador (6 last)

Plaza Amador3-2Tauro FC
Tauro FC0-1Plaza Amador
Plaza Amador0-1Tauro FC
Tauro FC2-3Plaza Amador
Plaza Amador3-1Tauro FC
Plaza Amador3-3Tauro FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tauro FC 1511 · Plaza Amador 1560

	Tauro FC	Draw	Plaza Amador
Our model	28%	27%	46%
Market	28%	26%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Plaza Amador (rating 1511 vs 1560).
H2H favours Plaza Amador: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 12.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tauro FC	Plaza Amador
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.2	2.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	1.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.1	1.9 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	7.7 / 0.3	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.40

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 2.13 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:46 +10’	3.20	3.40	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:38 +52’	3.16	3.31	2.11
17:02 +71’	3.13▼	3.30▼	2.13▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tauro FC 1–1–4 Plaza Amador

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/08/26 Panama LPF	Plaza Amador	3-2 HT 2-1	Tauro FC
05/04/26 Panama LPF	Tauro FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Plaza Amador
01/02/26 Panama LPF	Plaza Amador	0-1 HT 0-0	Tauro FC
18/10/25 Panama LPF	Tauro FC	2-3 HT 0-1	Plaza Amador
27/07/25 Panama LPF	Plaza Amador	3-1 HT 0-1	Tauro FC
24/05/25 Panama LPF	Plaza Amador	3-3 HT 0-2	Tauro FC

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Plaza Amador	12	8	3	1	28	16	27
2	CD Arabe Unido	12	6	4	2	16	10	22
3	UMECIT	12	5	4	3	12	10	19
4	Tauro FC	12	5	2	5	18	13	17
5	Alianza FC Panama	12	3	5	4	12	12	14
6	Sporting San Miguelito	12	3	4	5	12	15	13

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tauro FC	Plaza Amador
Veraguas CD	1-2 L	1-1 D
San Francisco FC	1-3 L	1-4 L
Herrera FC	6-0 W	4-1 W
CD Universitario	1-0 W	2-1 W
Union Cocle	2-0 W	2-1 W
CA Independiente de la Chorrera	2-1 W	2-2 D
Alianza FC Panama	0-2 L	4-2 W
CD Arabe Unido	0-1 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 4 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tauro FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tauro FC

LLLWWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	0-0	2-0	5	6	W
04/10	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	0-2	1-2	3	13	L
27/09	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-2	1-3	9	4	L
20/09	Herrera FC Panama LPF	2-0	6-0	4	7	W
13/09	CD Universitario Panama LPF	1-0	1-0	3	8	W
06/09	Union Cocle Panama LPF	1-0	2-0	4	12	W
29/08	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	1-0	2-1	9	10	W
25/08	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
18/08	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-1	0-1	6	8	L
09/08	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	1-2	2-3	6	6	L

Plaza Amador

WWWLWDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	1-0	2-0	5	8	W
04/10	CD Universitario Panama LPF	0-1	2-1	5	5	W
27/09	Union Cocle Panama LPF	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
20/09	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	2	9	D
13/09	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	1-1	2-2	2	2	D
06/09	Herrera FC Panama LPF	2-1	4-1	7	3	W
30/08	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-2	1-4	4	2	L
24/08	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-0	3-0	0	2	W
17/08	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	3-1	4-2	7	6	W
09/08	Tauro FC Panama LPF	2-1	3-2	2	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tauro FC vs Plaza Amador?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Plaza Amador win (46%). Probabilities: Tauro FC 28%, draw 26%, Plaza Amador 46%.

How many goals are expected in Tauro FC vs Plaza Amador?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Tauro FC 1.23 · Plaza Amador 1.63), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tauro FC vs Plaza Amador?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.