Football · Panama LPF · 27/10, 02:00

Prediction: Veraguas CD vs Union Cocle

Team pages: Veraguas CD · Union Cocle

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.06Total
Veraguas CD1.92
Union Cocle1.14
1X2
54% 24% 21%
Veraguas CD Draw Union Cocle
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Veraguas CD 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
WDDDLWDDWL
Union Cocle 0-2-8 (W-D-L)
LDLDLLLLLL
Head-to-head
Veraguas CD 1–2–0 Union Cocle (3 last)
  • Union Cocle0-1Veraguas CD
  • Veraguas CD1-1Union Cocle
  • Union Cocle2-2Veraguas CD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Veraguas CD 1509 · Union Cocle 1396
Veraguas CDDrawUnion Cocle
Our model54%24%21%
Market54%24%21%
Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Veraguas CD (rating 1509 vs 1396).
  • Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Veraguas CDUnion Cocle
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.60.8 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 1.30.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 4.21.7 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.6 / 0.65.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Veraguas CD 1–2–0 Union Cocle

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
09/08/26
Panama LPF
Union Cocle0-1
HT 0-0
Veraguas CD
26/04/26
Panama LPF
Veraguas CD1-1
HT 1-0
Union Cocle
25/01/26
Panama LPF
Union Cocle2-2
HT 1-2
Veraguas CD

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, West

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 San Francisco FC 12723 231423
2 Veraguas CD 12462 181818
3 CA Independiente de la Chorrera 12354 181814
4 CD Universitario 12255 101311
5 Herrera FC 12327 122611
6 Union Cocle 12129 10245

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVeraguas CDUnion Cocle
CA Independiente de la Chorrera 1-3 L 0-3 L
Tauro FC 2-1 W 0-2 L
Sporting San Miguelito 1-1 D 1-3 L
Plaza Amador 1-1 D 1-2 L
Alianza FC Panama 2-1 W 2-2 D
CD Arabe Unido 1-3 L 1-4 L
UMECIT 1-1 D 0-1 L
Herrera FC 2-2 D 2-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 4 D 2 L 0 W 1 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Veraguas CD (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Veraguas CD

WDDDLWDDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 CA Independiente de la Chorrera
Panama LPF
0-3 1-3 510 L
04/10 Tauro FC
Panama LPF
2-0 2-1 713 W
28/09 Sporting San Miguelito
Panama LPF
0-1 1-1 –– D
20/09 Plaza Amador
Panama LPF
0-1 1-1 19 D
14/09 Alianza FC Panama
Panama LPF
1-1 2-1 35 W
05/09 CD Arabe Unido
Panama LPF
0-2 1-3 27 L
01/09 UMECIT
Panama LPF
0-1 1-1 56 D
23/08 San Francisco FC
Panama LPF
1-2 3-3 53 D
16/08 Herrera FC
Panama LPF
2-2 2-2 76 D
09/08 Union Cocle
Panama LPF
0-0 1-0 35 W

Union Cocle

LDLDLLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Herrera FC
Panama LPF
2-1 2-3 52 L
06/10 Sporting San Miguelito
Panama LPF
1-3 1-3 26 L
27/09 Plaza Amador
Panama LPF
0-1 1-2 04 L
22/09 UMECIT
Panama LPF
0-0 0-1 46 L
12/09 CD Arabe Unido
Panama LPF
0-1 1-4 24 L
06/09 Tauro FC
Panama LPF
0-1 0-2 412 L
30/08 Alianza FC Panama
Panama LPF
1-0 2-2 56 D
23/08 CA Independiente de la Chorrera
Panama LPF
0-1 0-3 15 L
16/08 CD Universitario
Panama LPF
0-0 1-1 –– D
09/08 Veraguas CD
Panama LPF
0-0 0-1 85 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Veraguas CD vs Union Cocle?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Veraguas CD win (54%). Probabilities: Veraguas CD 54%, draw 24%, Union Cocle 21%.

How many goals are expected in Veraguas CD vs Union Cocle?

The model expects 3.06 goals (Veraguas CD 1.92 · Union Cocle 1.14), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Veraguas CD vs Union Cocle?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.