Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 25/10, 14:00
Prediction: Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia Asuncion
Team pages: Sportivo Ameliano · Olimpia Asuncion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
Sportivo Ameliano0.86
Olimpia Asuncion1.5
1X2
Sportivo Ameliano
Draw
Olimpia Asuncion
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo Ameliano
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Olimpia Asuncion
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportivo Ameliano
0–3–3
Olimpia Asuncion
(6 last)
- Olimpia Asuncion2-1Sportivo Ameliano
- Olimpia Asuncion1-1Sportivo Ameliano
- Sportivo Ameliano0-1Olimpia Asuncion
- Olimpia Asuncion2-1Sportivo Ameliano
- Sportivo Ameliano1-1Olimpia Asuncion
- Olimpia Asuncion0-0Sportivo Ameliano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportivo Ameliano 1476 · Olimpia Asuncion 1591
| Sportivo Ameliano | Draw | Olimpia Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 29% | 51% |
| Market | 22% | 26% | 53% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olimpia Asuncion (rating 1476 vs 1591).
- H2H favours Olimpia Asuncion: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo Ameliano | Olimpia Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.6 | 2.8 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.5 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Ameliano 0–3–3 Olimpia Asuncion
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Olimpia Asuncion | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Ameliano |
| 03/05/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Olimpia Asuncion | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Sportivo Ameliano |
| 28/02/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Ameliano | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Olimpia Asuncion |
| 05/10/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Olimpia Asuncion | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Sportivo Ameliano |
| 27/07/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Ameliano | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Olimpia Asuncion |
| 13/04/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Olimpia Asuncion | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Ameliano |
Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guarani Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Luqueno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportivo Ameliano | Olimpia Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Cerro Porteno | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| 2 de Mayo | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Rubio Nu | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Nacional Asuncion | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Libertad Asuncion | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Sportivo Luqueno | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Sportivo Trinidense | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Guarani Asuncion | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Recoleta | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 4 D 3 L | 7 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Olimpia Asuncion (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportivo Ameliano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 12/10 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 06/10 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 26/09 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 19/09 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 11/09 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/09 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Olimpia Asuncion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 07/10 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 29/09 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 20/09 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 02/09 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia Asuncion?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Olimpia Asuncion win (52%). Probabilities: Sportivo Ameliano 21%, draw 27%, Olimpia Asuncion 52%.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia Asuncion?
The model expects 2.36 goals (Sportivo Ameliano 0.86 · Olimpia Asuncion 1.5), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia Asuncion?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.