Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 01/11, 21:00
Prediction: Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia Asuncion
Team pages: Cerro Porteno · Olimpia Asuncion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Cerro Porteno1.18
Olimpia Asuncion1.27
1X2
Cerro Porteno
Draw
Olimpia Asuncion
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Cerro Porteno
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Olimpia Asuncion
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cerro Porteno
1–1–4
Olimpia Asuncion
(6 last)
- Olimpia Asuncion2-1Cerro Porteno
- Olimpia Asuncion3-0Cerro Porteno
- Cerro Porteno0-1Olimpia Asuncion
- Cerro Porteno1-1Olimpia Asuncion
- Olimpia Asuncion2-3Cerro Porteno
- Cerro Porteno1-2Olimpia Asuncion
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cerro Porteno 1513 · Olimpia Asuncion 1606
| Cerro Porteno | Draw | Olimpia Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 30% | 37% |
| Market | 34% | 28% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olimpia Asuncion (rating 1513 vs 1606).
- H2H favours Olimpia Asuncion: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cerro Porteno | Olimpia Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1 | 1.9 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6 | 2.4 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cerro Porteno 1–1–4 Olimpia Asuncion
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Olimpia Asuncion | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Cerro Porteno |
| 19/04/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Olimpia Asuncion | 3-0 | Cerro Porteno |
| 21/02/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Cerro Porteno | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Olimpia Asuncion |
| 19/10/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Cerro Porteno | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Olimpia Asuncion |
| 03/08/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Olimpia Asuncion | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Cerro Porteno |
| 03/05/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Cerro Porteno | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Olimpia Asuncion |
Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guarani Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Luqueno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cerro Porteno | Olimpia Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Sportivo San Lorenzo | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Sportivo Ameliano | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Sportivo Luqueno | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| 2 de Mayo | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Sportivo Trinidense | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Rubio Nu | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Guarani Asuncion | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Nacional Asuncion | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Recoleta | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Libertad Asuncion | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 3 D 2 L | 7 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Olimpia Asuncion (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cerro Porteno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 18/10 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 06/10 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 16 | 3 | L |
| 27/09 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 07/09 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 03/09 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
Olimpia Asuncion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 18/10 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 07/10 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 29/09 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 20/09 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 02/09 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia Asuncion?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Olimpia Asuncion win (38%). Probabilities: Cerro Porteno 33%, draw 29%, Olimpia Asuncion 38%.
How many goals are expected in Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia Asuncion?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Cerro Porteno 1.18 · Olimpia Asuncion 1.27), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia Asuncion?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.