Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 03/11, 21:00

Prediction: 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Trinidense

Team pages: 2 de Mayo · Sportivo Trinidense

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

2 de Mayo1.11

Sportivo Trinidense1.38

1X2

29% 29% 42%

2 de Mayo Draw Sportivo Trinidense

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

2 de Mayo 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Sportivo Trinidense 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

2 de Mayo 3–3 Sportivo Trinidense (6 last)

Sportivo Trinidense0-12 de Mayo
Sportivo Trinidense1-22 de Mayo
2 de Mayo1-0Sportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Trinidense2-12 de Mayo
2 de Mayo0-2Sportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Trinidense2-12 de Mayo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · 2 de Mayo 1499 · Sportivo Trinidense 1505

	2 de Mayo	Draw	Sportivo Trinidense
Our model	29%	29%	42%
Market	29%	29%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	2 de Mayo	Sportivo Trinidense
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.5	1.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.1	2.8 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.3	4 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.10

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.36 ★
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.20
2	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.22

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:23 +6’	3.10	3.10	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:48 +15’	3.36	3.20	2.22

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · 2 de Mayo 3–0–3 Sportivo Trinidense

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	Sportivo Trinidense	0-1 HT 0-0	2 de Mayo
01/05/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	Sportivo Trinidense	1-2 HT 0-1	2 de Mayo
01/03/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	2 de Mayo	1-0 HT 0-0	Sportivo Trinidense
26/10/25 Paraguay Division Profesional	Sportivo Trinidense	2-1 HT 0-1	2 de Mayo
08/08/25 Paraguay Division Profesional	2 de Mayo	0-2 HT 0-1	Sportivo Trinidense
09/05/25 Paraguay Division Profesional	Sportivo Trinidense	2-1 HT 1-0	2 de Mayo

Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Recoleta	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cerro Porteno	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Guarani Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Olimpia Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	2 de Mayo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Libertad Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nacional Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rubio Nu	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo San Lorenzo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Ameliano	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Luqueno	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Trinidense	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	2 de Mayo	Sportivo Trinidense
Guarani Asuncion	0-1 L	0-1 L
Deportivo Recoleta	1-1 D	3-1 W
Olimpia Asuncion	0-3 L	1-2 L
Sportivo Ameliano	1-0 W	3-0 W
Cerro Porteno	2-0 W	2-1 W
Rubio Nu	2-2 D	2-4 L
Nacional Asuncion	0-3 L	1-0 W
Libertad Asuncion	0-2 L	1-0 W
Sportivo San Lorenzo	2-1 W	1-1 D
Sportivo Luqueno	2-2 D	3-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 4 L	6 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sportivo Trinidense (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

2 de Mayo

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
25/10	Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
18/10	Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	0-3	4	5	L
12/10	Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
06/10	Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
26/09	Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	2-2	2	3	D
18/09	Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-2	0-3	11	7	L
11/09	Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	0-2	3	6	L
05/09	Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	2-1	3	7	W
01/09	Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	2-2	7	5	D

Sportivo Trinidense

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional	0-3	2-4	8	4	L
24/10	Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	1-0	13	4	W
19/10	Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
10/10	Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	1-1	10	4	D
05/10	Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional	2-1	3-2	5	4	W
27/09	Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
18/09	Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
12/09	Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	3-1	5	7	W
06/09	Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	1-2	6	6	L
02/09	Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	3-0	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Trinidense?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sportivo Trinidense win (42%). Probabilities: 2 de Mayo 29%, draw 29%, Sportivo Trinidense 42%.

How many goals are expected in 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Trinidense?

The model expects 2.5 goals (2 de Mayo 1.11 · Sportivo Trinidense 1.38), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Trinidense?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.