Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 31/10, 23:30
Prediction: Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion
Team pages: Sportivo San Lorenzo · Libertad Asuncion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.15Total
Sportivo San Lorenzo0.99
Libertad Asuncion2.16
1X2
Sportivo San Lorenzo
Draw
Libertad Asuncion
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo San Lorenzo
0-3-7 (W-D-L)
Libertad Asuncion
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportivo San Lorenzo
0–1–5
Libertad Asuncion
(6 last)
- Libertad Asuncion1-0Sportivo San Lorenzo
- Libertad Asuncion5-0Sportivo San Lorenzo
- Sportivo San Lorenzo0-7Libertad Asuncion
- Sportivo San Lorenzo1-2Libertad Asuncion
- Libertad Asuncion2-1Sportivo San Lorenzo
- Sportivo San Lorenzo2-2Libertad Asuncion
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportivo San Lorenzo 1402 · Libertad Asuncion 1556
| Sportivo San Lorenzo | Draw | Libertad Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 22% | 63% |
| Market | 15% | 22% | 63% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Libertad Asuncion (rating 1402 vs 1556).
- H2H favours Libertad Asuncion: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo San Lorenzo | Libertad Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 2 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.1 | 2.4 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo San Lorenzo 0–1–5 Libertad Asuncion
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Libertad Asuncion | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo San Lorenzo |
| 02/05/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Libertad Asuncion | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Sportivo San Lorenzo |
| 03/03/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0-7 HT 0-3 | Libertad Asuncion |
| 20/09/23 Paraguay Cup | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Libertad Asuncion |
| 28/07/22 Paraguay Cup | Libertad Asuncion | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Sportivo San Lorenzo |
| 21/11/20 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Libertad Asuncion |
Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guarani Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Luqueno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportivo San Lorenzo | Libertad Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Cerro Porteno | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Sportivo Luqueno | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Sportivo Trinidense | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Guarani Asuncion | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Deportivo Recoleta | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Olimpia Asuncion | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Sportivo Ameliano | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| 2 de Mayo | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Rubio Nu | 1-3 L | 4-2 W |
| Nacional Asuncion | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 7 L | 4 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Libertad Asuncion (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportivo San Lorenzo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 19/10 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 03/10 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 28/09 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 20/09 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 11/09 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 01/09 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 28/08 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
Libertad Asuncion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 19/10 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 12/10 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 05/10 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/09 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 19/09 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 11/09 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 02/09 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Libertad Asuncion win (63%). Probabilities: Sportivo San Lorenzo 15%, draw 22%, Libertad Asuncion 63%.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion?
The model expects 3.15 goals (Sportivo San Lorenzo 0.99 · Libertad Asuncion 2.16), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.