Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 31/10, 23:30
Prediction: Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion
Team pages: Sportivo Luqueno · Nacional Asuncion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Sportivo Luqueno1.02
Nacional Asuncion1.61
1X2
Sportivo Luqueno
Draw
Nacional Asuncion
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo Luqueno
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Nacional Asuncion
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportivo Luqueno
1–1–4
Nacional Asuncion
(6 last)
- Nacional Asuncion2-0Sportivo Luqueno
- Nacional Asuncion3-2Sportivo Luqueno
- Sportivo Luqueno1-2Nacional Asuncion
- Nacional Asuncion1-1Sportivo Luqueno
- Sportivo Luqueno2-1Nacional Asuncion
- Nacional Asuncion4-0Sportivo Luqueno
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportivo Luqueno 1414 · Nacional Asuncion 1576
| Sportivo Luqueno | Draw | Nacional Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 27% | 50% |
| Market | 23% | 28% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nacional Asuncion (rating 1414 vs 1576).
- H2H favours Nacional Asuncion: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo Luqueno | Nacional Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.8 | 1.5 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.7 | 2.6 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Luqueno 1–1–4 Nacional Asuncion
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Nacional Asuncion | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sportivo Luqueno |
| 27/03/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Nacional Asuncion | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Sportivo Luqueno |
| 27/01/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Luqueno | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Nacional Asuncion |
| 13/10/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Nacional Asuncion | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Sportivo Luqueno |
| 29/07/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Luqueno | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Nacional Asuncion |
| 17/05/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Nacional Asuncion | 4-0 HT 4-0 | Sportivo Luqueno |
Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guarani Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Luqueno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportivo Luqueno | Nacional Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Libertad Asuncion | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo | 3-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Cerro Porteno | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Sportivo Trinidense | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Guarani Asuncion | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Deportivo Recoleta | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Olimpia Asuncion | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Sportivo Ameliano | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| 2 de Mayo | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Rubio Nu | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 6 L | 6 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Nacional Asuncion (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportivo Luqueno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 19/10 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 05/10 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/09 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 01/09 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 28/08 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
Nacional Asuncion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/10 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 07/10 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | D |
| 18/09 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 13/09 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 07/09 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 02/09 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Nacional Asuncion win (50%). Probabilities: Sportivo Luqueno 23%, draw 27%, Nacional Asuncion 50%.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion?
The model expects 2.63 goals (Sportivo Luqueno 1.02 · Nacional Asuncion 1.61), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.