Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 25/10, 00:30

Prediction: 2 de Mayo vs Deportivo Recoleta

Team pages: 2 de Mayo · Deportivo Recoleta

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.44Total

2 de Mayo1.34

Deportivo Recoleta1.1

1X2

42% 29% 30%

2 de Mayo Draw Deportivo Recoleta

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

2 de Mayo 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWDWLLDWWL

Deportivo Recoleta 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLDLLW

Head-to-head

2 de Mayo 1–5 Deportivo Recoleta (6 last)

Deportivo Recoleta1-22 de Mayo
Deportivo Recoleta5-02 de Mayo
2 de Mayo0-1Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo0-2Deportivo Recoleta
Deportivo Recoleta2-02 de Mayo
2 de Mayo0-4Deportivo Recoleta

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · 2 de Mayo 1483 · Deportivo Recoleta 1445

	2 de Mayo	Draw	Deportivo Recoleta
Our model	41%	30%	29%
Market	42%	28%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Deportivo Recoleta: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	2 de Mayo	Deportivo Recoleta
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	0.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.7	2.2 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	3.4 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.20

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.15▲	Pinn 2.28 ★
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.24
2	3.10 → 3.00▼	Pinn 3.13

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
22:13 +7’	2.10	3.20	3.10
23:05 +8’	2.15▲	3.20	3.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:42 +57’	2.26	3.21	3.10
20:43 +97’	2.28▲	3.24▲	3.13▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · 2 de Mayo 1–0–5 Deportivo Recoleta

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/08/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	Deportivo Recoleta	1-2 HT 0-2	2 de Mayo
19/04/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	Deportivo Recoleta	5-0 HT 1-0	2 de Mayo
21/02/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	2 de Mayo	0-1 HT 0-1	Deportivo Recoleta
21/11/25 Paraguay Division Profesional	2 de Mayo	0-2 HT 0-1	Deportivo Recoleta
30/08/25 Paraguay Division Profesional	Deportivo Recoleta	2-0 HT 1-0	2 de Mayo
10/04/25 Paraguay Division Profesional	2 de Mayo	0-4 HT 0-3	Deportivo Recoleta

Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Recoleta	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cerro Porteno	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Guarani Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Olimpia Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	2 de Mayo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Libertad Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nacional Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rubio Nu	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo San Lorenzo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Ameliano	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Luqueno	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Trinidense	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	2 de Mayo	Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia Asuncion	0-3 L	1-2 L
Sportivo Ameliano	1-0 W	1-3 L
Cerro Porteno	2-0 W	1-3 L
Rubio Nu	2-2 D	1-0 W
Nacional Asuncion	0-3 L	0-1 L
Libertad Asuncion	0-2 L	1-2 L
Sportivo San Lorenzo	2-1 W	0-0 D
Sportivo Luqueno	2-2 D	0-1 L
Sportivo Trinidense	1-0 W	1-3 L
Guarani Asuncion	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: 2 de Mayo (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

2 de Mayo

DWDWLLDWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	0-3	4	5	L
12/10	Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
06/10	Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
26/09	Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	2-2	2	3	D
18/09	Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-2	0-3	11	7	L
11/09	Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	0-2	3	6	L
05/09	Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	2-1	3	7	W
01/09	Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	2-2	7	5	D
29/08	Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
25/08	Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-0	5	1	D

Deportivo Recoleta

LLLLLLDLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
13/10	Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-1	7	6	L
05/10	Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	1-2	11	4	L
28/09	Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
20/09	Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-1	10	4	L
12/09	Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	1-3	1	7	L
07/09	Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	0-2	3	0	L
03/09	Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional	0-3	1-3	6	2	L
29/08	Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-2	1-2	4	5	L
22/08	Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	1-3	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in 2 de Mayo vs Deportivo Recoleta?

According to our model, the most likely result is a 2 de Mayo win (42%). Probabilities: 2 de Mayo 42%, draw 29%, Deportivo Recoleta 30%.

How many goals are expected in 2 de Mayo vs Deportivo Recoleta?

The model expects 2.44 goals (2 de Mayo 1.34 · Deportivo Recoleta 1.1), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in 2 de Mayo vs Deportivo Recoleta?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.