Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 21/10, 23:00
Prediction: Deportivo Mixco vs CSD Municipal
Team pages: Deportivo Mixco · CSD Municipal
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Deportivo Mixco1.1
CSD Municipal1.3
1X2
Deportivo Mixco
Draw
CSD Municipal
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Mixco
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
CSD Municipal
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Mixco
2–4
CSD Municipal
(6 last)
- CSD Municipal2-0Deportivo Mixco
- CSD Municipal5-0Deportivo Mixco
- Deportivo Mixco0-2CSD Municipal
- CSD Municipal3-0Deportivo Mixco
- Deportivo Mixco1-0CSD Municipal
- Deportivo Mixco1-0CSD Municipal
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Mixco 1493 · CSD Municipal 1569
| Deportivo Mixco | Draw | CSD Municipal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 30% | 40% |
| Market | 31% | 28% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSD Municipal (rating 1493 vs 1569).
- H2H favours CSD Municipal: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Mixco | CSD Municipal | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.4 | 2.4 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.5 | 5.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Mixco 2–0–4 CSD Municipal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | CSD Municipal | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Mixco |
| 10/05/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | CSD Municipal | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Deportivo Mixco |
| 06/05/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Deportivo Mixco | 0-2 HT 0-0 | CSD Municipal |
| 26/04/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | CSD Municipal | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Mixco |
| 04/03/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Deportivo Mixco | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CSD Municipal |
| 09/11/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Deportivo Mixco | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CSD Municipal |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua GFC | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 29 |
| 2 | Guastatoya | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 27 |
| 3 | CSD Municipal | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 26 |
| 4 | Marquense | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18 | 24 |
| 5 | Deportivo Mixco | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 23 |
| 6 | Deportivo San Pedro | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 22 |
| 7 | Xelaju | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 21 |
| 8 | Aurora | 15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 21 |
| 9 | Malacateco | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 18 |
| 10 | Coban Imperial | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | 16 |
| 11 | CSD Comunicaciones | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 24 | 14 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 8 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Mixco | CSD Municipal |
|---|---|---|
| Coban Imperial | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Marquense | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Suchitepequez | 3-3 D | 3-0 W |
| Antigua GFC | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Malacateco | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Aurora | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| CSD Comunicaciones | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Xelaju | 1-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Guastatoya | 4-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 3 L | 4 W 5 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: CSD Municipal (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Mixco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/10 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 11/10 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 27/09 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 21/09 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
3-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 09/09 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 31/08 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
3-0 | 4-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
CSD Municipal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 15/10 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 12/10 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 09/10 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 25/09 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 14/09 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 10/09 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 07/09 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Mixco vs CSD Municipal?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CSD Municipal win (40%). Probabilities: Deportivo Mixco 31%, draw 29%, CSD Municipal 40%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Mixco vs CSD Municipal?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Deportivo Mixco 1.1 · CSD Municipal 1.3), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Mixco vs CSD Municipal?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.