Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 28/10, 22:00
Prediction: Coban Imperial vs Suchitepequez
Team pages: Coban Imperial · Suchitepequez
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.33Total
Coban Imperial2.3
Suchitepequez1.03
1X2
Coban Imperial
Draw
Suchitepequez
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Coban Imperial
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Suchitepequez
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Coban Imperial
2–1–3
Suchitepequez
(6 last)
- Suchitepequez3-2Coban Imperial
- Suchitepequez1-0Coban Imperial
- Coban Imperial4-2Suchitepequez
- Coban Imperial2-1Suchitepequez
- Suchitepequez2-2Coban Imperial
- Suchitepequez2-1Coban Imperial
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coban Imperial 1504 · Suchitepequez 1450
| Coban Imperial | Draw | Suchitepequez | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 20% | 15% |
| Market | 64% | 22% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coban Imperial (rating 1504 vs 1450).
- H2H favours Suchitepequez: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Coban Imperial | Suchitepequez | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.3 | 2.1 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.5 | 5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coban Imperial 2–1–3 Suchitepequez
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Suchitepequez | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Coban Imperial |
| 29/04/18 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Suchitepequez | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Coban Imperial |
| 04/03/18 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Coban Imperial | 4-2 HT 2-0 | Suchitepequez |
| 22/10/17 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Coban Imperial | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Suchitepequez |
| 20/08/17 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Suchitepequez | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Coban Imperial |
| 23/04/17 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Suchitepequez | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Coban Imperial |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua GFC | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 29 |
| 2 | CSD Municipal | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Deportivo Mixco | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 23 | 27 |
| 4 | Guastatoya | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 27 |
| 5 | Xelaju | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 20 | 24 |
| 6 | Marquense | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 24 |
| 7 | Deportivo San Pedro | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 23 |
| 8 | Aurora | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 22 |
| 9 | Coban Imperial | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | 19 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 19 |
| 11 | CSD Comunicaciones | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 24 | 17 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 9 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Coban Imperial | Suchitepequez |
|---|---|---|
| Marquense | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| CSD Municipal | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Antigua GFC | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Malacateco | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Aurora | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| CSD Comunicaciones | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Xelaju | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Guastatoya | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 2 L | 0 W 4 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Coban Imperial (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coban Imperial
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/10 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 15/10 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 12/10 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 27/09 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 13/09 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 11/09 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
Suchitepequez
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 19/10 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 16/10 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 05/10 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 25/09 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/09 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 15/09 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 10/09 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coban Imperial vs Suchitepequez?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Coban Imperial win (64%). Probabilities: Coban Imperial 64%, draw 21%, Suchitepequez 14%.
How many goals are expected in Coban Imperial vs Suchitepequez?
The model expects 3.33 goals (Coban Imperial 2.3 · Suchitepequez 1.03), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Coban Imperial vs Suchitepequez?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.