Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 30/10, 01:00

Prediction: Antigua GFC vs Deportivo San Pedro

Team pages: Antigua GFC · Deportivo San Pedro

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

Antigua GFC2.09

Deportivo San Pedro0.9

1X2

64% 22% 14%

Antigua GFC Draw Deportivo San Pedro

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Antigua GFC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLLDWDWL

Deportivo San Pedro 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DWDDLLWDLD

Head-to-head

Antigua GFC 0–1 Deportivo San Pedro (1 last)

Deportivo San Pedro4-3Antigua GFC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Antigua GFC 1497 · Deportivo San Pedro 1495

	Antigua GFC	Draw	Deportivo San Pedro
Our model	64%	22%	14%
Market	64%	22%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Antigua GFC	Deportivo San Pedro
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.5	1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.2	2.6 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.4	5 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.10

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.90

2 (+1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.10 → 4.10	Pinn 4.52
2	6.25 → 6.25	Pinn 7.22 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
21:16 +22’	1.40	4.10	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:56 +43’	1.39	4.46	7.05
22:20 +46’	1.38▼	4.52▲	7.22▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Antigua GFC 0–0–1 Deportivo San Pedro

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/08/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional	Deportivo San Pedro	4-3 HT 3-1	Antigua GFC

Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Antigua GFC	16	9	2	5	28	21	29
2	CSD Municipal	16	7	6	3	20	11	27
3	Deportivo Mixco	16	8	3	5	29	23	27
4	Guastatoya	16	8	3	5	22	20	27
5	Xelaju	16	7	3	6	28	20	24
6	Marquense	16	7	3	6	18	21	24
7	Deportivo San Pedro	16	6	5	5	20	19	23
8	Aurora	16	7	1	8	26	26	22
9	Coban Imperial	16	5	4	7	22	25	19
10	Malacateco	16	5	4	7	18	23	19
11	CSD Comunicaciones	16	5	2	9	18	24	17
12	Suchitepequez	16	1	6	9	18	34	9

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Antigua GFC	Deportivo San Pedro
CSD Comunicaciones	0-1 L	2-1 W
Xelaju	3-0 W	0-2 L
Guastatoya	1-1 D	1-2 L
Coban Imperial	2-1 W	1-1 D
CSD Municipal	1-1 D	0-0 D
Marquense	1-2 L	0-0 D
Deportivo Mixco	1-3 L	2-0 W
Suchitepequez	3-2 W	1-1 D
Malacateco	2-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 5 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Antigua GFC (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Antigua GFC

WWLLLDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-1	0-1	9	7	L
20/10	Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	3-0	3	6	W
15/10	Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	1-1	0	6	D
12/10	Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	2-1	1	5	W
09/10	CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-1	1-1	4	7	D
03/10	Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	1-2	2	5	L
27/09	Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-2	1-3	4	7	L
24/09	Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-2	0-4	8	4	L
15/09	Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	3-2	8	8	W
11/09	Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	2-0	3	6	W

Deportivo San Pedro

DWDDLLWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-1	2-2	13	5	D
18/10	Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	1-3	2	4	L
16/10	Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
11/10	CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-1	2-1	7	6	W
04/10	Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
26/09	Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
20/09	Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	1-1	4	8	D
13/09	Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
09/09	Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	2-0	6	7	W
07/09	CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	0-0	1	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Antigua GFC vs Deportivo San Pedro?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Antigua GFC win (64%). Probabilities: Antigua GFC 64%, draw 22%, Deportivo San Pedro 14%.

How many goals are expected in Antigua GFC vs Deportivo San Pedro?

The model expects 3 goals (Antigua GFC 2.09 · Deportivo San Pedro 0.9), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Antigua GFC vs Deportivo San Pedro?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.