Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 29/10, 03:00

Prediction: CSD Municipal vs CSD Comunicaciones

Team pages: CSD Municipal · CSD Comunicaciones

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.24Total

CSD Municipal1.64

CSD Comunicaciones0.61

1X2

62% 24% 14%

CSD Municipal Draw CSD Comunicaciones

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

CSD Municipal 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DWDWDDLDDL

CSD Comunicaciones 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLDLWWLLLW

Head-to-head

CSD Municipal 2–2–2 CSD Comunicaciones (6 last)

CSD Comunicaciones0-1CSD Municipal
CSD Municipal1-0CSD Comunicaciones
CSD Comunicaciones1-0CSD Municipal
CSD Comunicaciones0-0CSD Municipal
CSD Municipal1-1CSD Comunicaciones
CSD Comunicaciones1-0CSD Municipal

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSD Municipal 1512 · CSD Comunicaciones 1466

	CSD Municipal	Draw	CSD Comunicaciones
Our model	61%	26%	12%
Market	63%	22%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSD Municipal (rating 1512 vs 1466).
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CSD Municipal	CSD Comunicaciones
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.9	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 6.1	2.9 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.3	4.7 / 0.8

Odds Bet365

11.42

X4.00

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.95

2 (+1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
01:50 +15’	1.42	4.00	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CSD Municipal 2–2–2 CSD Comunicaciones

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/08/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional	CSD Comunicaciones	0-1 HT 0-1	CSD Municipal
16/04/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional	CSD Municipal	1-0 HT 0-0	CSD Comunicaciones
26/02/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional	CSD Comunicaciones	1-0 HT 1-0	CSD Municipal
20/10/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional	CSD Comunicaciones	0-0 HT 0-0	CSD Municipal
11/08/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional	CSD Municipal	1-1 HT 0-0	CSD Comunicaciones
21/04/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional	CSD Comunicaciones	1-0 HT 1-0	CSD Municipal

Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Antigua GFC	16	9	2	5	28	21	29
2	CSD Municipal	16	7	6	3	20	11	27
3	Deportivo Mixco	16	8	3	5	29	23	27
4	Guastatoya	16	8	3	5	22	20	27
5	Xelaju	16	7	3	6	28	20	24
6	Marquense	16	7	3	6	18	21	24
7	Deportivo San Pedro	16	6	5	5	20	19	23
8	Aurora	16	7	1	8	26	26	22
9	Coban Imperial	16	5	4	7	22	25	19
10	Malacateco	16	5	4	7	18	23	19
11	CSD Comunicaciones	16	5	2	9	18	24	17
12	Suchitepequez	16	1	6	9	18	34	9

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSD Municipal	CSD Comunicaciones
Xelaju	0-1 L	3-2 W
Deportivo Mixco	0-0 D	1-1 D
Guastatoya	1-1 D	1-2 L
Coban Imperial	1-2 L	2-2 D
Marquense	1-1 D	0-2 L
Antigua GFC	1-1 D	1-0 W
Suchitepequez	3-0 W	3-0 W
Malacateco	2-2 D	0-1 L
Aurora	2-1 W	1-2 L
Deportivo San Pedro	0-0 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 6 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: CSD Municipal (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSD Municipal

DWDWDDLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-1	0-1	2	9	L
21/10	Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
19/10	Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-1	1-1	5	9	D
15/10	Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-1	1-2	9	6	L
12/10	Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
09/10	Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-1	1-1	3	7	D
25/09	Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional	2-0	3-0	5	3	W
14/09	Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-1	2-2	9	2	D
10/09	Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
07/09	Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	0-0	12	5	D

CSD Comunicaciones

DLDLWWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
21/10	Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
15/10	Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-2	1-2	6	8	L
11/10	Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	1-2	3	6	L
05/10	Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	3-0	5	1	W
27/09	Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-2	3-2	6	6	W
19/09	Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	1-2	8	7	L
13/09	Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	2-2	8	6	D
10/09	Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-1	0-2	3	6	L
05/09	Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	1-1	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSD Municipal vs CSD Comunicaciones?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CSD Municipal win (62%). Probabilities: CSD Municipal 62%, draw 24%, CSD Comunicaciones 14%.

How many goals are expected in CSD Municipal vs CSD Comunicaciones?

The model expects 2.24 goals (CSD Municipal 1.64 · CSD Comunicaciones 0.61), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CSD Municipal vs CSD Comunicaciones?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.