Football · Montenegro Prva Liga · 24/10, 17:00

Prediction: Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj vs Sutjeska Niksic

Team pages: Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj · Sutjeska Niksic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.29Total

Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj1.22

Sutjeska Niksic1.06

1X2

39% 30% 31%

Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Draw Sutjeska Niksic

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWWLWWDW

Sutjeska Niksic 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLLDWDWWDW

Head-to-head

Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj 1–2–3 Sutjeska Niksic (6 last)

Sutjeska Niksic1-4Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj1-1Sutjeska Niksic
Sutjeska Niksic2-0Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj0-2Sutjeska Niksic
Sutjeska Niksic0-0Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj1-3Sutjeska Niksic

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj 1531 · Sutjeska Niksic 1523

	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	Draw	Sutjeska Niksic
Our model	38%	31%	31%
Market	39%	30%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sutjeska Niksic: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	Sutjeska Niksic
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.2	1.3 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.7	3.2 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.3	3.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.00

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:07 +10’	2.30	3.00	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj 1–2–3 Sutjeska Niksic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	Sutjeska Niksic	1-4 HT 1-2	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
07/02/26 Europe Friendlies	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	1-1 HT 1-1	Sutjeska Niksic
14/05/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	Sutjeska Niksic	2-0 HT 0-0	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
16/03/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	0-2 HT 0-1	Sutjeska Niksic
10/11/24 Montenegro Prva Liga	Sutjeska Niksic	0-0 HT 0-0	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
14/09/24 Montenegro Prva Liga	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	1-3 HT 1-2	Sutjeska Niksic

Standings · Montenegro Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	11	6	2	3	20	14	20
2	Buducnost Podgorica	11	5	3	3	12	7	18
3	FK Mornar Bar	11	4	5	2	14	11	17
4	Sutjeska Niksic	10	4	3	3	13	7	15
5	FK Decic Tuzi	10	4	3	3	10	8	15
6	FK Bokelj	10	4	3	3	8	9	15
7	OFK Mladost DG	11	3	3	5	10	17	12
8	FK Jezero	11	2	5	4	12	18	11
9	OFK Petrovac	10	1	5	4	9	12	8
10	FK Arsenal	9	1	4	4	6	11	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	Sutjeska Niksic
OFK Petrovac	3-2 W	0-0 D
OFK Mladost DG	2-2 D	5-1 W
FK Jezero	4-1 W	0-0 D
FK Mornar Bar	1-0 W	1-0 W
FK Bokelj	1-2 L	4-0 W
Buducnost Podgorica	2-0 W	0-0 D
FK Decic Tuzi	0-3 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 3 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj

DWLWWLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga	2-1	3-2	6	6	W
08/10	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	1-1	2-2	7	5	D
20/09	FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga	1-1	4-1	5	5	W
14/09	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
10/09	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	1-2	1-2	2	4	L
05/09	Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	4	7	W
30/08	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	1-1	2-1	3	7	W
23/08	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-3	3	5	L
15/08	Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga	2-1	4-1	5	4	W
09/08	OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	8	8	D

Sutjeska Niksic

LLLDWDWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	4-0	0	4	W
10/10	Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
13/09	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
08/09	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	8	2	W
04/09	OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
28/08	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	2-0	5-1	7	3	W
22/08	FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
15/08	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	1-2	1-4	7	4	L
09/08	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	9	4	L
03/08	Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	10	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj vs Sutjeska Niksic?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj win (39%). Probabilities: Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj 39%, draw 30%, Sutjeska Niksic 31%.

How many goals are expected in Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj vs Sutjeska Niksic?

The model expects 2.29 goals (Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj 1.22 · Sutjeska Niksic 1.06), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj vs Sutjeska Niksic?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.