Football · Montenegro Prva Liga · 29/10, 17:00
Prediction: FK Decic Tuzi vs Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
Team pages: FK Decic Tuzi · Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
FK Decic Tuzi1.18
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj1.07
1X2
FK Decic Tuzi
Draw
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Decic Tuzi
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Decic Tuzi
3–2–1
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
(6 last)
- Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj0-3FK Decic Tuzi
- FK Decic Tuzi1-0Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
- Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj1-2FK Decic Tuzi
- FK Decic Tuzi2-2Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
- Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj2-0FK Decic Tuzi
- FK Decic Tuzi0-0Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Decic Tuzi 1507 · Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj 1515
| FK Decic Tuzi | Draw | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 31% | 32% |
| Market | 38% | 29% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FK Decic Tuzi: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Decic Tuzi | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.1 | 1.8 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Decic Tuzi 3–2–1 Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/26 Montenegro Prva Liga | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | 0-3 HT 0-0 | FK Decic Tuzi |
| 06/05/26 Montenegro Cup | FK Decic Tuzi | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj |
| 22/04/26 Montenegro Cup | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | 1-2 HT 0-1 | FK Decic Tuzi |
| 04/05/25 Montenegro Prva Liga | FK Decic Tuzi | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj |
| 08/03/25 Montenegro Prva Liga | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FK Decic Tuzi |
| 27/10/24 Montenegro Prva Liga | FK Decic Tuzi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj |
Standings · Montenegro Prva Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 21 |
| 2 | FK Mornar Bar | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Buducnost Podgorica | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | FK Bokelj | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Sutjeska Niksic | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | FK Decic Tuzi | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 15 |
| 7 | OFK Mladost DG | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 12 |
| 8 | OFK Petrovac | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 11 |
| 9 | FK Jezero | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 11 |
| 10 | FK Arsenal | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 8 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Decic Tuzi | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj |
|---|---|---|
| FK Bokelj | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Buducnost Podgorica | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| FK Mornar Bar | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Sutjeska Niksic | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| OFK Petrovac | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| OFK Mladost DG | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| FK Jezero | 2-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Decic Tuzi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 18/10 | Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 09/09 | OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 17/08 | FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/10 | OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 08/10 | OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 20/09 | FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 10/09 | FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 23/08 | FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Decic Tuzi vs Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Decic Tuzi win (38%). Probabilities: FK Decic Tuzi 38%, draw 30%, Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj 32%.
How many goals are expected in FK Decic Tuzi vs Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj?
The model expects 2.25 goals (FK Decic Tuzi 1.18 · Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj 1.07), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Decic Tuzi vs Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.