Football · Montenegro Prva Liga · 02/11, 14:00

Prediction: FK Bokelj vs Buducnost Podgorica

Team pages: FK Bokelj · Buducnost Podgorica

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.13Total

FK Bokelj1.06

Buducnost Podgorica1.06

1X2

34% 31% 34%

FK Bokelj Draw Buducnost Podgorica

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Bokelj 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDDLWDWLWD

Buducnost Podgorica 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDLWWWDWDW

Head-to-head

FK Bokelj 2–2–2 Buducnost Podgorica (6 last)

FK Bokelj1-1Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica0-0FK Bokelj
Buducnost Podgorica2-1FK Bokelj
FK Bokelj2-0Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica0-1FK Bokelj
FK Bokelj0-2Buducnost Podgorica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Bokelj 1513 · Buducnost Podgorica 1538

	FK Bokelj	Draw	Buducnost Podgorica
Our model	34%	32%	34%
Market	35%	30%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.13 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Bokelj	Buducnost Podgorica
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.9	1.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 2.8	1.7 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.00

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Pinn 2.94 ★
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
04:10 +4’	2.55	3.00	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:41 +34’	2.94	2.88	2.52

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Bokelj 2–2–2 Buducnost Podgorica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/10/26 Montenegro Cup	FK Bokelj	1-1 HT 1-0	Buducnost Podgorica
30/08/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	Buducnost Podgorica	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Bokelj
20/05/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	Buducnost Podgorica	2-1 HT 2-1	FK Bokelj
21/03/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Bokelj	2-0 HT 0-0	Buducnost Podgorica
29/11/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	Buducnost Podgorica	0-1 HT 0-0	FK Bokelj
21/09/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Bokelj	0-2 HT 0-0	Buducnost Podgorica

Standings · Montenegro Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Buducnost Podgorica	13	6	4	3	18	12	22
2	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	13	6	3	4	21	17	21
3	Sutjeska Niksic	13	5	5	3	18	10	20
4	FK Mornar Bar	13	5	5	3	20	15	20
5	FK Bokelj	12	5	4	3	10	9	19
6	FK Decic Tuzi	12	5	3	4	12	10	18
7	OFK Petrovac	12	3	5	4	12	13	14
8	FK Jezero	13	2	6	5	15	22	12
9	OFK Mladost DG	13	3	3	7	11	22	12
10	FK Arsenal	12	1	6	5	9	16	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Bokelj	Buducnost Podgorica
FK Arsenal	0-0 D	3-3 D
FK Decic Tuzi	2-0 W	1-0 W
Sutjeska Niksic	0-4 L	0-0 D
OFK Mladost DG	3-0 W	2-0 W
FK Jezero	1-1 D	3-0 W
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	2-1 W	0-2 L
FK Mornar Bar	0-2 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Bokelj

LDDLWDWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
23/10	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	2	6	W
19/10	Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-4	5	4	L
20/09	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	3-0	3-0	2	2	W
15/09	FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
10/09	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	2-1	2-1	2	4	W
03/09	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	0-2	0-2	5	2	L
30/08	Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
23/08	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
17/08	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	0	4	L

Buducnost Podgorica

LDLWWWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	3-2	4	0	W
22/10	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	1-1	3-3	0	3	D
18/10	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
10/10	Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
18/09	OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	4-1	5	5	W
14/09	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
10/09	FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
05/09	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	6	7	L
30/08	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
21/08	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	0-2	1-2	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Bokelj vs Buducnost Podgorica?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Bokelj win (34%). Probabilities: FK Bokelj 34%, draw 31%, Buducnost Podgorica 34%.

How many goals are expected in FK Bokelj vs Buducnost Podgorica?

The model expects 2.13 goals (FK Bokelj 1.06 · Buducnost Podgorica 1.06), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Bokelj vs Buducnost Podgorica?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.