Football · Montenegro Prva Liga · 02/11, 13:00
Prediction: OFK Mladost DG vs Sutjeska Niksic
Team pages: OFK Mladost DG · Sutjeska Niksic
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
OFK Mladost DG0.91
Sutjeska Niksic1.41
1X2
OFK Mladost DG
Draw
Sutjeska Niksic
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
OFK Mladost DG
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Sutjeska Niksic
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
OFK Mladost DG
1–5
Sutjeska Niksic
(6 last)
- Sutjeska Niksic5-1OFK Mladost DG
- OFK Mladost DG0-1Sutjeska Niksic
- Sutjeska Niksic1-0OFK Mladost DG
- OFK Mladost DG2-3Sutjeska Niksic
- Sutjeska Niksic3-1OFK Mladost DG
- OFK Mladost DG3-2Sutjeska Niksic
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · OFK Mladost DG 1449 · Sutjeska Niksic 1558
| OFK Mladost DG | Draw | Sutjeska Niksic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 30% | 48% |
| Market | 24% | 27% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sutjeska Niksic (rating 1449 vs 1558).
- H2H favours Sutjeska Niksic: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| OFK Mladost DG | Sutjeska Niksic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.7 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.1 | 2.7 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · OFK Mladost DG 1–0–5 Sutjeska Niksic
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/26 Montenegro Prva Liga | Sutjeska Niksic | 5-1 HT 2-0 | OFK Mladost DG |
| 20/05/26 Montenegro Prva Liga | OFK Mladost DG | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sutjeska Niksic |
| 21/03/26 Montenegro Prva Liga | Sutjeska Niksic | 1-0 HT 0-0 | OFK Mladost DG |
| 30/11/25 Montenegro Prva Liga | OFK Mladost DG | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Sutjeska Niksic |
| 21/09/25 Montenegro Prva Liga | Sutjeska Niksic | 3-1 HT 1-0 | OFK Mladost DG |
| 12/05/24 Montenegro Prva Liga | OFK Mladost DG | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Sutjeska Niksic |
Standings · Montenegro Prva Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buducnost Podgorica | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 21 |
| 3 | Sutjeska Niksic | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | FK Mornar Bar | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 20 |
| 5 | FK Bokelj | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| 6 | FK Decic Tuzi | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 18 |
| 7 | OFK Petrovac | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| 8 | FK Jezero | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 12 |
| 9 | OFK Mladost DG | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 12 |
| 10 | FK Arsenal | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | OFK Mladost DG | Sutjeska Niksic |
|---|---|---|
| OFK Petrovac | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| FK Mornar Bar | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| FK Jezero | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| FK Bokelj | 0-3 L | 4-0 W |
| Buducnost Podgorica | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| FK Decic Tuzi | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 3 W 4 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Sutjeska Niksic (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
OFK Mladost DG
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 22/10 | FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-1 | 1-4 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 08/10 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 20/09 | FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-3 | 0-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 14/09 | Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 10/09 | FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
Sutjeska Niksic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 24/10 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/10 | FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 4-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 08/09 | FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 04/09 | OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 28/08 | OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga |
2-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in OFK Mladost DG vs Sutjeska Niksic?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sutjeska Niksic win (48%). Probabilities: OFK Mladost DG 24%, draw 28%, Sutjeska Niksic 48%.
How many goals are expected in OFK Mladost DG vs Sutjeska Niksic?
The model expects 2.32 goals (OFK Mladost DG 0.91 · Sutjeska Niksic 1.41), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in OFK Mladost DG vs Sutjeska Niksic?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.