Football · Montenegro Prva Liga · 24/10, 17:00

Prediction: Buducnost Podgorica vs FK Arsenal

Team pages: Buducnost Podgorica · FK Arsenal

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.21Total

Buducnost Podgorica1.51

FK Arsenal0.7

1X2

56% 26% 17%

Buducnost Podgorica Draw FK Arsenal

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Buducnost Podgorica 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDLDLWWWDW

FK Arsenal 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LDDDDLLLWL

Head-to-head

Buducnost Podgorica 2–1–3 FK Arsenal (6 last)

FK Arsenal0-0Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica4-1FK Arsenal
Buducnost Podgorica0-2FK Arsenal
FK Arsenal1-0Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica4-2FK Arsenal
FK Arsenal1-0Buducnost Podgorica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Buducnost Podgorica 1530 · FK Arsenal 1455

	Buducnost Podgorica	Draw	FK Arsenal
Our model	55%	28%	16%
Market	57%	25%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Buducnost Podgorica (rating 1530 vs 1455).
H2H favours FK Arsenal: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Buducnost Podgorica	FK Arsenal
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.7	0.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.7	2.4 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.60

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.02

2 (+1)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:12 +5’	1.57	3.60	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Buducnost Podgorica 2–1–3 FK Arsenal

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Arsenal	0-0 HT 0-0	Buducnost Podgorica
27/06/26 Europe Friendlies	Buducnost Podgorica	4-1 HT 1-1	FK Arsenal
18/04/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	Buducnost Podgorica	0-2 HT 0-1	FK Arsenal
25/02/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Arsenal	1-0 HT 0-0	Buducnost Podgorica
18/10/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	Buducnost Podgorica	4-2 HT 1-1	FK Arsenal
17/08/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Arsenal	1-0 HT 0-0	Buducnost Podgorica

Standings · Montenegro Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	11	6	2	3	20	14	20
2	Buducnost Podgorica	11	5	3	3	12	7	18
3	FK Mornar Bar	11	4	5	2	14	11	17
4	Sutjeska Niksic	10	4	3	3	13	7	15
5	FK Decic Tuzi	10	4	3	3	10	8	15
6	FK Bokelj	10	4	3	3	8	9	15
7	OFK Mladost DG	11	3	3	5	10	17	12
8	FK Jezero	11	2	5	4	12	18	11
9	OFK Petrovac	10	1	5	4	9	12	8
10	FK Arsenal	9	1	4	4	6	11	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Buducnost Podgorica	FK Arsenal
FK Decic Tuzi	1-0 W	0-0 D
OFK Petrovac	4-1 W	2-1 W
OFK Mladost DG	2-0 W	0-1 L
FK Jezero	3-0 W	2-5 L
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	0-2 L	1-2 L
FK Bokelj	0-0 D	0-0 D
FK Mornar Bar	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Buducnost Podgorica (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Buducnost Podgorica

LDLDLWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
10/10	Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
18/09	OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	4-1	5	5	W
14/09	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
10/09	FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
05/09	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	6	7	L
30/08	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
21/08	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	0-2	1-2	2	5	L
16/08	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
08/08	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	4	3	L

FK Arsenal

LDDDDLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
14/09	OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	2-1	1	6	W
10/09	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
05/09	FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga	2-2	2-5	0	4	L
30/08	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	1-1	1-2	8	7	L
23/08	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
16/08	Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	6	1	D
07/08	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
02/08	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
24/05	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	0-3	1-4	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Buducnost Podgorica vs FK Arsenal?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Buducnost Podgorica win (56%). Probabilities: Buducnost Podgorica 56%, draw 26%, FK Arsenal 17%.

How many goals are expected in Buducnost Podgorica vs FK Arsenal?

The model expects 2.21 goals (Buducnost Podgorica 1.51 · FK Arsenal 0.7), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Buducnost Podgorica vs FK Arsenal?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.