Football · Montenegro Prva Liga · 27/10, 18:00
Prediction: Buducnost Podgorica vs FK Mornar Bar
Team pages: Buducnost Podgorica · FK Mornar Bar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
Buducnost Podgorica1.2
FK Mornar Bar1.08
1X2
Buducnost Podgorica
Draw
FK Mornar Bar
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Buducnost Podgorica
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
FK Mornar Bar
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Buducnost Podgorica
2–2–2
FK Mornar Bar
(6 last)
- FK Mornar Bar2-1Buducnost Podgorica
- Buducnost Podgorica0-0FK Mornar Bar
- FK Mornar Bar3-0Buducnost Podgorica
- Buducnost Podgorica2-0FK Mornar Bar
- FK Mornar Bar1-1Buducnost Podgorica
- Buducnost Podgorica3-0FK Mornar Bar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Buducnost Podgorica 1523 · FK Mornar Bar 1571
| Buducnost Podgorica | Draw | FK Mornar Bar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 31% | 32% |
| Market | 39% | 28% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Mornar Bar (rating 1523 vs 1571).
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Buducnost Podgorica | FK Mornar Bar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.3 | 3.2 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Buducnost Podgorica 2–2–2 FK Mornar Bar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/26 Montenegro Prva Liga | FK Mornar Bar | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Buducnost Podgorica |
| 16/05/26 Montenegro Prva Liga | Buducnost Podgorica | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Mornar Bar |
| 15/03/26 Montenegro Prva Liga | FK Mornar Bar | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Buducnost Podgorica |
| 22/11/25 Montenegro Prva Liga | Buducnost Podgorica | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FK Mornar Bar |
| 17/09/25 Montenegro Prva Liga | FK Mornar Bar | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Buducnost Podgorica |
| 04/05/25 Montenegro Prva Liga | Buducnost Podgorica | 3-0 HT 1-0 | FK Mornar Bar |
Standings · Montenegro Prva Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 21 |
| 2 | FK Mornar Bar | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Buducnost Podgorica | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | FK Bokelj | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Sutjeska Niksic | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | FK Decic Tuzi | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 15 |
| 7 | OFK Mladost DG | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 12 |
| 8 | OFK Petrovac | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 11 |
| 9 | FK Jezero | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 11 |
| 10 | FK Arsenal | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Buducnost Podgorica | FK Mornar Bar |
|---|---|---|
| FK Arsenal | 3-3 D | 2-1 W |
| FK Decic Tuzi | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Sutjeska Niksic | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| OFK Petrovac | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| OFK Mladost DG | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| FK Jezero | 3-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| FK Bokelj | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 1 L | 3 W 3 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Buducnost Podgorica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 18/10 | FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 18/09 | OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 10/09 | FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 21/08 | FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
FK Mornar Bar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/10 | FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 08/10 | FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga |
2-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 20/09 | FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 14/09 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 08/09 | Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/09 | FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 21/08 | Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga |
2-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Buducnost Podgorica vs FK Mornar Bar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Buducnost Podgorica win (38%). Probabilities: Buducnost Podgorica 38%, draw 29%, FK Mornar Bar 32%.
How many goals are expected in Buducnost Podgorica vs FK Mornar Bar?
The model expects 2.28 goals (Buducnost Podgorica 1.2 · FK Mornar Bar 1.08), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Buducnost Podgorica vs FK Mornar Bar?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.