Football · Montenegro Prva Liga · 28/10, 17:00

Prediction: OFK Petrovac vs OFK Mladost DG

Team pages: OFK Petrovac · OFK Mladost DG

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.4Total

OFK Petrovac1.43

OFK Mladost DG0.97

1X2

47% 28% 25%

OFK Petrovac Draw OFK Mladost DG

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

OFK Petrovac 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DWDDDDLLLW

OFK Mladost DG 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWWLLDDL

Head-to-head

OFK Petrovac 2–1–3 OFK Mladost DG (6 last)

OFK Petrovac0-1OFK Mladost DG
OFK Mladost DG0-0OFK Petrovac
OFK Mladost DG1-0OFK Petrovac
OFK Petrovac3-1OFK Mladost DG
OFK Mladost DG1-0OFK Petrovac
OFK Petrovac4-0OFK Mladost DG

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · OFK Petrovac 1477 · OFK Mladost DG 1478

	OFK Petrovac	Draw	OFK Mladost DG
Our model	47%	29%	24%
Market	47%	28%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours OFK Mladost DG: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	OFK Petrovac	OFK Mladost DG
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	0.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.5	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4	2.9 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.3	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.25

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:59 +11’	1.90	3.25	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · OFK Petrovac 2–1–3 OFK Mladost DG

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/09/26 Europe Friendlies	OFK Petrovac	0-1 HT 0-1	OFK Mladost DG
22/08/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	OFK Mladost DG	0-0 HT 0-0	OFK Petrovac
10/05/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	OFK Mladost DG	1-0 HT 0-0	OFK Petrovac
11/03/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	OFK Petrovac	3-1 HT 1-1	OFK Mladost DG
09/11/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	OFK Mladost DG	1-0 HT 1-0	OFK Petrovac
13/09/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	OFK Petrovac	4-0 HT 2-0	OFK Mladost DG

Standings · Montenegro Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	12	6	3	3	21	15	21
2	FK Mornar Bar	12	5	5	2	18	12	20
3	Buducnost Podgorica	12	5	4	3	15	10	19
4	FK Bokelj	11	5	3	3	10	9	18
5	Sutjeska Niksic	11	4	4	3	14	8	16
6	FK Decic Tuzi	11	4	3	4	10	10	15
7	OFK Mladost DG	12	3	3	6	11	21	12
8	OFK Petrovac	11	2	5	4	11	13	11
9	FK Jezero	12	2	5	5	13	20	11
10	FK Arsenal	10	1	5	4	9	14	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	OFK Petrovac	OFK Mladost DG
FK Jezero	2-1 W	0-0 D
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	2-3 L	2-2 D
Buducnost Podgorica	1-4 L	0-2 L
FK Arsenal	1-2 L	1-0 W
FK Decic Tuzi	1-1 D	2-0 W
Sutjeska Niksic	0-0 D	1-5 L
FK Mornar Bar	1-1 D	1-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: OFK Mladost DG (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

OFK Petrovac

DWDDDDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	2-1	4	5	W
19/10	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	1-2	2-3	5	6	L
18/09	Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-4	5	5	L
14/09	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	1-2	8	6	L
09/09	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	1	4	D
04/09	Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
29/08	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	5	1	D
22/08	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
16/08	FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	3-0	5	5	W
09/08	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	1	8	D

OFK Mladost DG

LDLWWLLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/10	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	1-1	1-4	9	3	L
18/10	FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
08/10	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	1-1	2-2	1	5	D
20/09	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-3	0-3	8	2	L
14/09	Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
10/09	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
05/09	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
28/08	Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga	0-2	1-5	6	3	L
22/08	OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
16/08	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	2-2	2-3	10	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in OFK Petrovac vs OFK Mladost DG?

According to our model, the most likely result is a OFK Petrovac win (47%). Probabilities: OFK Petrovac 47%, draw 28%, OFK Mladost DG 25%.

How many goals are expected in OFK Petrovac vs OFK Mladost DG?

The model expects 2.4 goals (OFK Petrovac 1.43 · OFK Mladost DG 0.97), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in OFK Petrovac vs OFK Mladost DG?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.