Football · Montenegro Prva Liga · 24/10, 17:00

Prediction: FK Bokelj vs FK Decic Tuzi

Team pages: FK Bokelj · FK Decic Tuzi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.69Total

FK Bokelj0.98

FK Decic Tuzi0.71

1X2

41% 33% 26%

FK Bokelj Draw FK Decic Tuzi

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 52% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

0-0 20%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Bokelj 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDDLWDWL

FK Decic Tuzi 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWWLDLDL

Head-to-head

FK Bokelj 2–2–2 FK Decic Tuzi (6 last)

FK Decic Tuzi1-0FK Bokelj
FK Bokelj1-0FK Decic Tuzi
FK Decic Tuzi0-0FK Bokelj
FK Bokelj1-1FK Decic Tuzi
FK Decic Tuzi0-2FK Bokelj
FK Decic Tuzi1-0FK Bokelj

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Bokelj 1514 · FK Decic Tuzi 1497

	FK Bokelj	Draw	FK Decic Tuzi
Our model	40%	36%	24%
Market	43%	30%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 1.69 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Bokelj	FK Decic Tuzi
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.9	1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 2.8	3.1 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.00

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 22.02

Under 21.77

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 1.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:14 +4’	2.10	3.00	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Bokelj 2–2–2 FK Decic Tuzi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/08/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Decic Tuzi	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Bokelj
24/05/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Bokelj	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Decic Tuzi
04/04/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Decic Tuzi	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Bokelj
06/12/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Bokelj	1-1 HT 0-1	FK Decic Tuzi
27/09/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Decic Tuzi	0-2 HT 0-1	FK Bokelj
20/04/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Decic Tuzi	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Bokelj

Standings · Montenegro Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	11	6	2	3	20	14	20
2	Buducnost Podgorica	11	5	3	3	12	7	18
3	FK Mornar Bar	11	4	5	2	14	11	17
4	Sutjeska Niksic	10	4	3	3	13	7	15
5	FK Decic Tuzi	10	4	3	3	10	8	15
6	FK Bokelj	10	4	3	3	8	9	15
7	OFK Mladost DG	11	3	3	5	10	17	12
8	FK Jezero	11	2	5	4	12	18	11
9	OFK Petrovac	10	1	5	4	9	12	8
10	FK Arsenal	9	1	4	4	6	11	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Bokelj	FK Decic Tuzi
Sutjeska Niksic	0-4 L	0-2 L
OFK Mladost DG	3-0 W	0-2 L
FK Jezero	1-1 D	2-1 W
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	2-1 W	3-0 W
FK Mornar Bar	0-2 L	1-1 D
Buducnost Podgorica	0-0 D	0-1 L
FK Arsenal	0-0 D	0-0 D
OFK Petrovac	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FK Decic Tuzi (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Bokelj

WWLDDLWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-4	5	4	L
20/09	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	3-0	3-0	2	2	W
15/09	FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
10/09	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	2-1	2-1	2	4	W
03/09	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	0-2	0-2	5	2	L
30/08	Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
23/08	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
17/08	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	0	4	L
09/08	Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
01/08	OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	5	5	W

FK Decic Tuzi

DWWWWLDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
20/09	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	10	5	D
13/09	Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	9	6	L
09/09	OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
05/09	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-2	8	3	L
30/08	FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
23/08	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	3-0	5	5	W
17/08	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	9	4	W
08/08	Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
02/08	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	8	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Bokelj vs FK Decic Tuzi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Bokelj win (41%). Probabilities: FK Bokelj 41%, draw 33%, FK Decic Tuzi 26%.

How many goals are expected in FK Bokelj vs FK Decic Tuzi?

The model expects 1.69 goals (FK Bokelj 0.98 · FK Decic Tuzi 0.71), with a 59% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Bokelj vs FK Decic Tuzi?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.