Football · Montenegro Prva Liga · 23/10, 18:00

Prediction: FK Jezero vs OFK Petrovac

Team pages: FK Jezero · OFK Petrovac

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

FK Jezero1.32

OFK Petrovac1.16

1X2

40% 29% 32%

FK Jezero Draw OFK Petrovac

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Jezero 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLWLDLDD

OFK Petrovac 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

LDWDDDDLLL

Head-to-head

FK Jezero 0–3–3 OFK Petrovac (6 last)

OFK Petrovac3-0FK Jezero
FK Jezero1-1OFK Petrovac
OFK Petrovac2-1FK Jezero
FK Jezero1-3OFK Petrovac
OFK Petrovac1-1FK Jezero
FK Jezero1-1OFK Petrovac

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Jezero 1491 · OFK Petrovac 1464

	FK Jezero	Draw	OFK Petrovac
Our model	39%	30%	31%
Market	40%	28%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours OFK Petrovac: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Jezero	OFK Petrovac
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.8	0.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/80/10%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.2	2.1 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0	4.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.20

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:04 +5’	2.25	3.20	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Jezero 0–3–3 OFK Petrovac

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	OFK Petrovac	3-0 HT 0-0	FK Jezero
12/04/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Jezero	1-1 HT 1-0	OFK Petrovac
21/02/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	OFK Petrovac	2-1 HT 0-1	FK Jezero
05/10/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Jezero	1-3 HT 0-2	OFK Petrovac
10/08/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	OFK Petrovac	1-1 HT 0-0	FK Jezero
26/04/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Jezero	1-1 HT 1-1	OFK Petrovac

Standings · Montenegro Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	11	6	2	3	20	14	20
2	Buducnost Podgorica	11	5	3	3	12	7	18
3	FK Mornar Bar	11	4	5	2	14	11	17
4	Sutjeska Niksic	10	4	3	3	13	7	15
5	FK Decic Tuzi	10	4	3	3	10	8	15
6	FK Bokelj	10	4	3	3	8	9	15
7	OFK Mladost DG	11	3	3	5	10	17	12
8	FK Jezero	11	2	5	4	12	18	11
9	OFK Petrovac	10	1	5	4	9	12	8
10	FK Arsenal	9	1	4	4	6	11	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Jezero	OFK Petrovac
OFK Mladost DG	0-0 D	0-0 D
FK Mornar Bar	3-3 D	1-1 D
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	1-4 L	2-3 L
FK Bokelj	1-1 D	0-1 L
Buducnost Podgorica	0-3 L	1-4 L
FK Arsenal	5-2 W	1-2 L
FK Decic Tuzi	1-2 L	1-1 D
Sutjeska Niksic	0-0 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 3 L	0 W 4 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Jezero

WLDLWLDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
08/10	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	2-2	3-3	7	7	D
20/09	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	1-1	1-4	3	5	L
15/09	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
10/09	Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-3	3	4	L
05/09	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	2-2	5-2	4	4	W
30/08	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	1-1	1-2	0	3	L
22/08	Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
16/08	OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-3	3	5	L
09/08	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

OFK Petrovac

LDWDDDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	1-2	2-3	5	6	L
18/09	Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-4	5	5	L
14/09	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	1-2	8	6	L
09/09	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	1	4	D
04/09	Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
29/08	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	5	1	D
22/08	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
16/08	FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	3-0	5	5	W
09/08	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	1	8	D
01/08	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Jezero vs OFK Petrovac?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Jezero win (40%). Probabilities: FK Jezero 40%, draw 29%, OFK Petrovac 32%.

How many goals are expected in FK Jezero vs OFK Petrovac?

The model expects 2.49 goals (FK Jezero 1.32 · OFK Petrovac 1.16), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Jezero vs OFK Petrovac?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.