Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 21/10, 20:00
Prediction: RAEC Mons vs Union Rochefortoise
Team pages: RAEC Mons · Union Rochefortoise
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.42Total
RAEC Mons1.98
Union Rochefortoise1.45
1X2
RAEC Mons
Draw
Union Rochefortoise
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
RAEC Mons
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Union Rochefortoise
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
RAEC Mons
3–2–1
Union Rochefortoise
(6 last)
- Union Rochefortoise1-3RAEC Mons
- RAEC Mons3-0Union Rochefortoise
- Union Rochefortoise3-1RAEC Mons
- RAEC Mons5-0Union Rochefortoise
- Union Rochefortoise1-1RAEC Mons
- RAEC Mons0-0Union Rochefortoise
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · RAEC Mons 1569 · Union Rochefortoise 1534
| RAEC Mons | Draw | Union Rochefortoise | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 24% | 27% |
| Market | 49% | 24% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours RAEC Mons: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| RAEC Mons | Union Rochefortoise | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1 | 2.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.3 | 1.6 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · RAEC Mons 3–2–1 Union Rochefortoise
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Belgium First Amateur Division | Union Rochefortoise | 1-3 HT 0-2 | RAEC Mons |
| 28/02/26 Belgium First Amateur Division | RAEC Mons | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Union Rochefortoise |
| 08/02/26 Belgium First Amateur Division | Union Rochefortoise | 3-1 HT 3-1 | RAEC Mons |
| 30/08/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | RAEC Mons | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Union Rochefortoise |
| 04/05/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | Union Rochefortoise | 1-1 HT 0-0 | RAEC Mons |
| 22/03/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | RAEC Mons | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Union Rochefortoise |
Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFC Meux | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 19 |
| 2 | RWD Molenbeek | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Union Rochefortoise | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Union Saint Gilloise II | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 17 |
| 5 | Tubize | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 14 |
| 6 | Standard Liege II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | ROC Charleroi | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 12 |
| 8 | RAEC Mons | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 11 |
| 9 | Sporting Charleroi U23 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 10 |
| 10 | RSC Habay | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
| 11 | RCS Onhaye | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 6 |
| 12 | FC Flenu | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | RAEC Mons | Union Rochefortoise |
|---|---|---|
| RSC Habay | 2-2 D | 4-2 W |
| Standard Liege II | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| RCS Onhaye | 5-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Tubize | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| Sporting Charleroi U23 | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| RFC Meux | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Union Rochefortoise (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
RAEC Mons
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 07/10 | Standard Liege II Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 03/10 | FC Flenu Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | RCS Onhaye Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-1 | 5-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | ROC Charleroi Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Sporting Charleroi U23 Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | RFC Meux Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
Union Rochefortoise
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | RFC Meux Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 03/10 | Standard Liege II Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 30/09 | RWD Molenbeek Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 19/09 | Sporting Charleroi U23 Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | RCS Onhaye Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/08 | Union Saint Gilloise II Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 10/05 | Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Excelsior Virton Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in RAEC Mons vs Union Rochefortoise?
According to our model, the most likely result is a RAEC Mons win (49%). Probabilities: RAEC Mons 49%, draw 24%, Union Rochefortoise 27%.
How many goals are expected in RAEC Mons vs Union Rochefortoise?
The model expects 3.42 goals (RAEC Mons 1.98 · Union Rochefortoise 1.45), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in RAEC Mons vs Union Rochefortoise?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.