Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 25/10, 15:00
Prediction: Cercle Brugge Reserves vs Hoogstraten VV
Team pages: Cercle Brugge Reserves · Hoogstraten VV
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.46Total
Cercle Brugge Reserves1.71
Hoogstraten VV1.75
1X2
Cercle Brugge Reserves
Draw
Hoogstraten VV
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Cercle Brugge Reserves
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Hoogstraten VV
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cercle Brugge Reserves
2–2
Hoogstraten VV
(4 last)
- Cercle Brugge Reserves1-0Hoogstraten VV
- Hoogstraten VV4-1Cercle Brugge Reserves
- Hoogstraten VV2-4Cercle Brugge Reserves
- Cercle Brugge Reserves2-4Hoogstraten VV
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cercle Brugge Reserves 1450 · Hoogstraten VV 1516
| Cercle Brugge Reserves | Draw | Hoogstraten VV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 24% | 39% |
| Market | 36% | 26% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hoogstraten VV (rating 1450 vs 1516).
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cercle Brugge Reserves | Hoogstraten VV | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.3 | 2.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 5.1 | 1.2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cercle Brugge Reserves 2–0–2 Hoogstraten VV
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Belgium First Amateur Division | Cercle Brugge Reserves | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Hoogstraten VV |
| 22/11/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | Hoogstraten VV | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Cercle Brugge Reserves |
| 27/04/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | Hoogstraten VV | 2-4 HT 0-0 | Cercle Brugge Reserves |
| 17/11/24 Belgium First Amateur Division | Cercle Brugge Reserves | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Hoogstraten VV |
Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFC Meux | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 19 |
| 2 | RWD Molenbeek | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Union Rochefortoise | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Union Saint Gilloise II | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 17 |
| 5 | RAEC Mons | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 14 |
| 6 | Tubize | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 14 |
| 7 | Standard Liege II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
| 8 | ROC Charleroi | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 12 |
| 9 | Sporting Charleroi U23 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 10 |
| 10 | RSC Habay | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
| 11 | RCS Onhaye | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 6 |
| 12 | FC Flenu | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cercle Brugge Reserves | Hoogstraten VV |
|---|---|---|
| K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | 2-1 W | 4-4 D |
| Tienen | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Dessel Sport | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| KFC Merelbeke | 1-3 L | 2-3 L |
| KVV Zelzate | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Hoogstraten VV (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cercle Brugge Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 11/10 | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 03/10 | KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
Hoogstraten VV
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 30/09 | KRC Harelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 19/09 | RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division |
3-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 28/08 | KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 2-3 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | KVK Ninove Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cercle Brugge Reserves vs Hoogstraten VV?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hoogstraten VV win (38%). Probabilities: Cercle Brugge Reserves 36%, draw 25%, Hoogstraten VV 38%.
How many goals are expected in Cercle Brugge Reserves vs Hoogstraten VV?
The model expects 3.46 goals (Cercle Brugge Reserves 1.71 · Hoogstraten VV 1.75), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cercle Brugge Reserves vs Hoogstraten VV?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.