Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 25/10, 15:00

Prediction: Sporting Charleroi U23 vs Standard Liege II

Team pages: Sporting Charleroi U23 · Standard Liege II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.11Total

Sporting Charleroi U231.08

Standard Liege II1.03

1X2

35% 33% 32%

Sporting Charleroi U23 Draw Standard Liege II

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Sporting Charleroi U23 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDLDDWDL

Standard Liege II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDLLDLLWWW

Head-to-head

Sporting Charleroi U23 1–3 Standard Liege II (4 last)

Sporting Charleroi U230-2Standard Liege II
Standard Liege II1-0Sporting Charleroi U23
Sporting Charleroi U230-2Standard Liege II
Standard Liege II0-1Sporting Charleroi U23

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Standard Liege II (rating 1464 vs 1511).
H2H favours Standard Liege II: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sporting Charleroi U23	Standard Liege II
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	1.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.2	2.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.3	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.84

Under 2.51.94

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 21:53

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.05 → 2.83▼	Pinn 2.83
X	3.36 → 3.35▼	Pinn 3.35
2	2.14 → 2.27▲	Pinn 2.27

See the full journey (5)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
02:22 +32’	3.05	3.36	2.14
03:00 +65’	2.91▼	3.36	2.22▲
04:14 +59’	2.86▼	3.36	2.25▲
05:15 +77’	2.85▼	3.35▼	2.26▲
18:59 +174’	2.83▼	3.35	2.27▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 2 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting Charleroi U23 1–0–3 Standard Liege II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	Sporting Charleroi U23	0-2 HT 0-2	Standard Liege II
22/03/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	Standard Liege II	1-0 HT 0-0	Sporting Charleroi U23
08/02/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	Sporting Charleroi U23	0-2 HT 0-0	Standard Liege II
01/11/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Standard Liege II	0-1 HT 0-1	Sporting Charleroi U23

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RFC Meux	9	6	1	2	16	8	19
2	RWD Molenbeek	9	6	1	2	14	10	19
3	Union Rochefortoise	9	5	2	2	17	9	17
4	Union Saint Gilloise II	9	5	2	2	17	10	17
5	RAEC Mons	9	4	2	3	20	15	14
6	Tubize	9	4	2	3	11	11	14
7	Standard Liege II	9	4	1	4	13	7	13
8	ROC Charleroi	9	3	3	3	13	18	12
9	Sporting Charleroi U23	9	2	4	3	9	10	10
10	RSC Habay	8	1	3	4	7	12	6
11	RCS Onhaye	8	2	0	6	10	20	6
12	FC Flenu	9	0	1	8	10	27	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sporting Charleroi U23	Standard Liege II
Union Saint Gilloise II	0-2 L	0-1 L
RCS Onhaye	4-2 W	4-1 W
RSC Habay	0-0 D	0-0 D
Union Rochefortoise	1-1 D	0-1 L
FC Flenu	2-2 D	1-0 W
RAEC Mons	1-0 W	3-2 W
Tubize	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Standard Liege II (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sporting Charleroi U23

LLWDLDDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Union Saint Gilloise II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
10/10	ROC Charleroi Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
04/10	RCS Onhaye Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	4-2	3	5	W
30/09	RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
19/09	Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
12/09	RWD Molenbeek Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
06/09	FC Flenu Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-2	1	5	D
30/08	RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
26/08	Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	7	6	L
10/05	UR Namur Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-3	5	1	L

Standard Liege II

WDLLDLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	FC Flenu Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-0	8	4	W
11/10	RCS Onhaye Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	4-1	4	3	W
07/10	RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division	2-2	3-2	0	10	W
03/10	Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-1	9	1	L
19/09	Union Saint Gilloise II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
13/09	RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
06/09	RFC Meux Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
30/08	Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	8	5	L
10/05	Crossing Schaerbeek Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
03/05	Sporting Charleroi U23 Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-0	2	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sporting Charleroi U23 vs Standard Liege II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sporting Charleroi U23 win (35%). Probabilities: Sporting Charleroi U23 35%, draw 33%, Standard Liege II 32%.

How many goals are expected in Sporting Charleroi U23 vs Standard Liege II?

The model expects 2.11 goals (Sporting Charleroi U23 1.08 · Standard Liege II 1.03), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sporting Charleroi U23 vs Standard Liege II?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.