Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 30/10, 20:00

Prediction: KFC Merelbeke vs SK Roeselare

Team pages: KFC Merelbeke · SK Roeselare

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
KFC Merelbeke0.96
SK Roeselare1.54
1X2
23% 26% 51%
KFC Merelbeke Draw SK Roeselare
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
KFC Merelbeke 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LWWLWDDLWD
SK Roeselare 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WDWWDLWWDW
Head-to-head
KFC Merelbeke 0–2 SK Roeselare (2 last)
  • KFC Merelbeke1-3SK Roeselare
  • SK Roeselare1-0KFC Merelbeke
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KFC Merelbeke 1494 · SK Roeselare 1558
KFC MerelbekeDrawSK Roeselare
Our model22%28%50%
Market24%24%51%
Estimated total (ours) 2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Roeselare (rating 1494 vs 1558).
  • H2H favours SK Roeselare: 2-0-0.
  • High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KFC MerelbekeSK Roeselare
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.11.7 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.50.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 53.3 / 7.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.13.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · KFC Merelbeke 0–0–2 SK Roeselare

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/04/26
Belgium First Amateur Division
KFC Merelbeke1-3
HT 1-1
SK Roeselare
21/09/25
Belgium First Amateur Division
SK Roeselare1-0
HT 0-0
KFC Merelbeke

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Union Rochefortoise 10622 21920
2 RFC Meux 10613 16919
3 RWD Molenbeek 10613 151219
4 Union Saint Gilloise II 10532 171018
5 RAEC Mons 10523 221617
6 Tubize 10523 151117
7 Standard Liege II 10415 13813
8 Sporting Charleroi U23 10343 101013
9 ROC Charleroi 10334 132212
10 RSC Habay 9234 8129
11 RCS Onhaye 9216 10207
12 FC Flenu 10019 10311

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKFC MerelbekeSK Roeselare
Royal Knokke 3-0 W 2-1 W
RFC Mandel Utd 0-2 L 1-0 W
Tienen 0-0 D 1-1 D
Dessel Sport 1-1 D 2-0 W
Belisia Bilzen SV 0-1 L 1-1 D
Hoogstraten VV 3-2 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 2 L 3 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: SK Roeselare (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KFC Merelbeke

LWWLWDDLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 KVC Houtvenne
Belgium First Amateur Division
1-0 1-1 24 D
18/10 Royal Knokke
Belgium First Amateur Division
2-0 3-0 64 W
11/10 RFC Mandel Utd
Belgium First Amateur Division
0-2 0-2 74 L
04/10 Tienen
Belgium First Amateur Division
0-0 0-0 58 D
30/09 Dessel Sport
Belgium First Amateur Division
0-0 1-1 21 D
20/09 KRC Harelbeke
Belgium First Amateur Division
2-0 3-0 53 W
13/09 Belisia Bilzen SV
Belgium First Amateur Division
0-1 0-1 96 L
06/09 Cercle Brugge Reserves
Belgium First Amateur Division
0-1 3-1 43 W
28/08 Hoogstraten VV
Belgium First Amateur Division
2-0 3-2 43 W
26/04 KVK Ninove
Belgium First Amateur Division
0-1 1-3 60 L

SK Roeselare

WDWWDLWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Royal Knokke
Belgium First Amateur Division
0-0 2-1 154 W
17/10 Hoogstraten VV
Belgium First Amateur Division
0-1 1-1 105 D
10/10 Dessel Sport
Belgium First Amateur Division
1-0 2-0 101 W
03/10 K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Belgium First Amateur Division
2-0 3-0 84 W
30/09 KVV Thes Sport
Belgium First Amateur Division
0-0 0-1 83 L
20/09 Tienen
Belgium First Amateur Division
1-0 1-1 –– D
13/09 RFC Mandel Utd
Belgium First Amateur Division
1-0 1-0 60 W
06/09 KVV Zelzate
Belgium First Amateur Division
1-0 3-0 26 W
30/08 Belisia Bilzen SV
Belgium First Amateur Division
0-0 1-1 63 D
26/04 KVV Thes Sport
Belgium First Amateur Division
1-1 3-1 44 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KFC Merelbeke vs SK Roeselare?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SK Roeselare win (51%). Probabilities: KFC Merelbeke 23%, draw 26%, SK Roeselare 51%.

How many goals are expected in KFC Merelbeke vs SK Roeselare?

The model expects 2.51 goals (KFC Merelbeke 0.96 · SK Roeselare 1.54), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in KFC Merelbeke vs SK Roeselare?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.