Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 30/10, 20:00
Prediction: KVV Thes Sport vs Tienen
Team pages: KVV Thes Sport · Tienen
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
KVV Thes Sport1.56
Tienen1.05
1X2
KVV Thes Sport
Draw
Tienen
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
KVV Thes Sport
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Tienen
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
KVV Thes Sport
1–1–4
Tienen
(6 last)
- KVV Thes Sport0-0Tienen
- Tienen1-0KVV Thes Sport
- Tienen3-2KVV Thes Sport
- KVV Thes Sport0-1Tienen
- Tienen4-0KVV Thes Sport
- KVV Thes Sport4-1Tienen
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · KVV Thes Sport 1500 · Tienen 1471
| KVV Thes Sport | Draw | Tienen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 28% | 24% |
| Market | 50% | 24% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Tienen: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KVV Thes Sport | Tienen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 5.8 | 1.7 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KVV Thes Sport 1–1–4 Tienen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/26 Belgium First Amateur Division | KVV Thes Sport | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tienen |
| 02/11/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | Tienen | 1-0 HT 1-0 | KVV Thes Sport |
| 09/02/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | Tienen | 3-2 HT 3-0 | KVV Thes Sport |
| 05/10/24 Belgium First Amateur Division | KVV Thes Sport | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Tienen |
| 11/02/24 Belgium First Amateur Division | Tienen | 4-0 HT 4-0 | KVV Thes Sport |
| 30/09/23 Belgium First Amateur Division | KVV Thes Sport | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Tienen |
Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Rochefortoise | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | RFC Meux | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 9 | 19 |
| 3 | RWD Molenbeek | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 19 |
| 4 | Union Saint Gilloise II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | RAEC Mons | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 17 |
| 6 | Tubize | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | Standard Liege II | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Sporting Charleroi U23 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 13 |
| 9 | ROC Charleroi | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 12 |
| 10 | RSC Habay | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 9 |
| 11 | RCS Onhaye | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 7 |
| 12 | FC Flenu | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KVV Thes Sport | Tienen |
|---|---|---|
| Belisia Bilzen SV | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Cercle Brugge Reserves | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| KRC Harelbeke | 0-1 L | 4-0 W |
| SK Roeselare | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| OH Leuven II | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| KSK Heist | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: KVV Thes Sport (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KVV Thes Sport
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/10 | Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 11/10 | KRC Harelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/10 | KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 30/09 | SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
Tienen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 21/10 | KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 11/10 | Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 04/10 | KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 27/09 | Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/09 | KRC Harelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KVV Thes Sport vs Tienen?
According to our model, the most likely result is a KVV Thes Sport win (49%). Probabilities: KVV Thes Sport 49%, draw 26%, Tienen 26%.
How many goals are expected in KVV Thes Sport vs Tienen?
The model expects 2.6 goals (KVV Thes Sport 1.56 · Tienen 1.05), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in KVV Thes Sport vs Tienen?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.