Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 24/10, 20:00

Prediction: SK Roeselare vs Royal Knokke

Team pages: SK Roeselare · Royal Knokke

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

SK Roeselare2.04

Royal Knokke1.24

1X2

55% 23% 22%

SK Roeselare Draw Royal Knokke

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Roeselare 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWDLWWD

Royal Knokke 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWDWLL

Head-to-head

SK Roeselare 1–1–1 Royal Knokke (3 last)

Royal Knokke1-0SK Roeselare
SK Roeselare4-1Royal Knokke
SK Roeselare2-2Royal Knokke

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Roeselare 1542 · Royal Knokke 1456

	SK Roeselare	Draw	Royal Knokke
Our model	55%	23%	22%
Market	55%	23%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Roeselare (rating 1542 vs 1456).
High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Roeselare	Royal Knokke
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.6	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.8	2.5 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	4.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.90

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.61▼	Pinn 1.66
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.80 → 4.00▲	Pinn 4.35 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.6% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
06:58 +15’	1.67	3.90	3.80
16:56 +25’	1.61▼	3.90	4.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:24 +49’	1.66	3.84	4.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Roeselare 1–1–1 Royal Knokke

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/02/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	Royal Knokke	1-0 HT 1-0	SK Roeselare
16/11/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	SK Roeselare	4-1 HT 2-0	Royal Knokke
24/07/19 Europe Friendlies	SK Roeselare	2-2 HT 1-0	Royal Knokke

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RFC Meux	9	6	1	2	16	8	19
2	RWD Molenbeek	9	6	1	2	14	10	19
3	Union Rochefortoise	8	5	2	1	17	7	17
4	Union Saint Gilloise II	9	5	2	2	17	10	17
5	Tubize	9	4	2	3	11	11	14
6	Standard Liege II	9	4	1	4	13	7	13
7	ROC Charleroi	9	3	3	3	13	18	12
8	RAEC Mons	8	3	2	3	18	15	11
9	Sporting Charleroi U23	9	2	4	3	9	10	10
10	RSC Habay	8	1	3	4	7	12	6
11	RCS Onhaye	8	2	0	6	10	20	6
12	FC Flenu	9	0	1	8	10	27	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Roeselare	Royal Knokke
KVV Thes Sport	0-1 L	0-2 L
Tienen	1-1 D	2-0 W
KVV Zelzate	3-0 W	0-0 D
Belisia Bilzen SV	1-1 D	3-2 W
KFC Merelbeke	3-1 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SK Roeselare (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Roeselare

WWDWWDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-1	10	5	D
10/10	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-0	10	1	W
03/10	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	3-0	8	4	W
30/09	KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
20/09	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
13/09	RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-0	6	0	W
06/09	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-0	2	6	W
30/08	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
26/04	KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	3-1	4	4	W
19/04	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	3-1	7	4	W

Royal Knokke

WWWLLWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-3	3	4	L
10/10	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
04/10	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	3-1	3-2	2	5	W
30/09	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
20/09	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	3-2	8	7	W
13/09	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
05/09	KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-2	9	5	L
30/08	KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
26/04	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	3-2	11	6	W
19/04	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-0	2	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Roeselare vs Royal Knokke?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Roeselare win (55%). Probabilities: SK Roeselare 55%, draw 23%, Royal Knokke 22%.

How many goals are expected in SK Roeselare vs Royal Knokke?

The model expects 3.28 goals (SK Roeselare 2.04 · Royal Knokke 1.24), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Roeselare vs Royal Knokke?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.