Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 25/10, 15:00

Prediction: RSC Habay vs RFC Meux

Team pages: RSC Habay · RFC Meux

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.61Total

RSC Habay1.35

RFC Meux1.26

1X2

39% 27% 34%

RSC Habay Draw RFC Meux

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

RSC Habay 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLLDWDLD

RFC Meux 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLWWWLWDLW

Head-to-head

RSC Habay 1–1–4 RFC Meux (6 last)

RSC Habay1-2RFC Meux
RFC Meux3-1RSC Habay
RSC Habay1-1RFC Meux
RFC Meux5-2RSC Habay
RFC Meux1-3RSC Habay
RSC Habay1-2RFC Meux

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RSC Habay 1416 · RFC Meux 1544

	RSC Habay	Draw	RFC Meux
Our model	38%	29%	33%
Market	39%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RFC Meux (rating 1416 vs 1544).
H2H favours RFC Meux: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	RSC Habay	RFC Meux
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.5	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 5.1	1.2 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	4.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.40

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.30▼	Pinn 2.34
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.38 → 2.60▲	Pinn 2.81 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
01:06 +25’	2.50	3.40	2.38
12:44 +12’	2.30▼	3.40	2.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:38 +76’	2.36	3.25	2.77
03:04 +61’	2.34▼	3.24▼	2.81▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · RSC Habay 1–1–4 RFC Meux

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	RSC Habay	1-2 HT 0-1	RFC Meux
07/03/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	RFC Meux	3-1 HT 2-0	RSC Habay
23/11/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	RSC Habay	1-1 HT 0-0	RFC Meux
27/09/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	RFC Meux	5-2 HT 2-0	RSC Habay
18/05/25 Belgium Second Amateur Division Play-Offs	RFC Meux	1-3 HT 1-3	RSC Habay
09/09/23 Belgium Cup	RSC Habay	1-2 HT 1-1	RFC Meux

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RFC Meux	9	6	1	2	16	8	19
2	RWD Molenbeek	9	6	1	2	14	10	19
3	Union Rochefortoise	9	5	2	2	17	9	17
4	Union Saint Gilloise II	9	5	2	2	17	10	17
5	RAEC Mons	9	4	2	3	20	15	14
6	Tubize	9	4	2	3	11	11	14
7	Standard Liege II	9	4	1	4	13	7	13
8	ROC Charleroi	9	3	3	3	13	18	12
9	Sporting Charleroi U23	9	2	4	3	9	10	10
10	RSC Habay	8	1	3	4	7	12	6
11	RCS Onhaye	8	2	0	6	10	20	6
12	FC Flenu	9	0	1	8	10	27	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RSC Habay	RFC Meux
RAEC Mons	2-2 D	0-3 L
Tubize	0-1 L	1-0 W
FC Flenu	2-1 W	4-1 W
Standard Liege II	0-0 D	1-0 W
Union Saint Gilloise II	0-2 L	2-1 W
Union Rochefortoise	2-4 L	0-3 L
RWD Molenbeek	1-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: RFC Meux (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RSC Habay

LLLLLDWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	4	7	L
30/09	Sporting Charleroi U23 Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
20/09	FC Flenu Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-1	5	3	W
13/09	Standard Liege II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	11	2	D
05/09	Union Saint Gilloise II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
29/08	Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division	1-2	2-4	4	5	L
26/08	RWD Molenbeek Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-2	9	6	L
10/05	Excelsior Virton Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
03/05	RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	1	5	L

RFC Meux

DLWWWLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-0	1	8	W
10/10	Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-3	8	6	L
03/10	ROC Charleroi Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
26/09	RCS Onhaye Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
19/09	RWD Molenbeek Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	7	0	L
13/09	FC Flenu Belgium First Amateur Division	3-0	4-1	2	5	W
06/09	Standard Liege II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
29/08	Union Saint Gilloise II Belgium First Amateur Division	2-1	2-1	3	4	W
10/05	RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
03/05	Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RSC Habay vs RFC Meux?

According to our model, the most likely result is a RSC Habay win (39%). Probabilities: RSC Habay 39%, draw 27%, RFC Meux 34%.

How many goals are expected in RSC Habay vs RFC Meux?

The model expects 2.61 goals (RSC Habay 1.35 · RFC Meux 1.26), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in RSC Habay vs RFC Meux?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.