Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 24/10, 18:30

Prediction: Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca

Team pages: Manta FC · Deportivo Cuenca

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.19Total

Manta FC1.25

Deportivo Cuenca0.95

1X2

42% 31% 27%

Manta FC Draw Deportivo Cuenca

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Manta FC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLDWWL

Deportivo Cuenca 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLDDDW

Head-to-head

Manta FC 1–5 Deportivo Cuenca (6 last)

Deportivo Cuenca1-2Manta FC
Manta FC0-1Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC0-1Deportivo Cuenca
Deportivo Cuenca2-0Manta FC
Manta FC1-3Deportivo Cuenca
Deportivo Cuenca1-0Manta FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Manta FC 1472 · Deportivo Cuenca 1479

	Manta FC	Draw	Deportivo Cuenca
Our model	42%	31%	27%
Market	42%	30%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Deportivo Cuenca: 5-0-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Manta FC	Deportivo Cuenca
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.8	0.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	0/90/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.1	2.8 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.4	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.10

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 15:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.20▼	Pinn 2.40 ★
X	3.00 → 3.10▲	Pinn 3.15
2	2.88 → 3.40▲	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 7.1% Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:16 +1’	2.45	3.00	2.88
19:31 +7’	2.60▲	3.00	2.70▼
21:56 +1’	2.40▼	3.00	2.90▲
00:12 +3’	2.20▼	3.00	3.25▲
15:21 +3’	2.20	3.10▲	3.40▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:58 +319’	2.37	3.23	2.99
12:28 +50’	2.40▲	3.15▼	3.02▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Manta FC 1–0–5 Deportivo Cuenca

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/08/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Deportivo Cuenca	1-2 HT 1-1	Manta FC
19/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Manta FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Deportivo Cuenca
23/08/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Manta FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Deportivo Cuenca
03/05/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Deportivo Cuenca	2-0 HT 1-0	Manta FC
22/07/24 Ecuador Cup	Manta FC	1-3 HT 1-3	Deportivo Cuenca
07/08/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Deportivo Cuenca	1-0 HT 0-0	Manta FC

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Serie A 2026, Relegation Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Cuenca	33	11	8	14	28	39	41
2	Mushuc Runa	33	9	13	11	39	43	40
3	Delfin SC	33	9	8	16	27	36	35
4	Orense	33	9	8	16	38	50	35
5	Tecnico Universitario	33	10	3	20	30	46	33
6	Manta FC	33	7	6	20	22	47	27

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Manta FC	Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario	1-0 W	2-1 W
Orense	2-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Manta FC (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Manta FC

WLLWLLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	2-2	2-4	4	5	L
10/10	Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-0	1-0	13	6	W
21/09	Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	2-0	2-1	4	8	W
12/09	SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
08/09	Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-1	4	9	L
02/09	Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-1	3-4	2	4	L
30/08	Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-0	2-0	2	6	W
22/08	Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-3	1-5	1	3	L
15/08	Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
11/08	Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-1	2-1	1	2	W

Deportivo Cuenca

LLDLWLDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-1	2-1	12	5	W
11/10	Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
20/09	Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
13/09	LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
07/09	Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-1	12	5	L
02/09	Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
29/08	Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-2	1-3	7	4	L
22/08	Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
16/08	Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-2	4	2	L
11/08	Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-1	1-2	8	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Manta FC win (42%). Probabilities: Manta FC 42%, draw 31%, Deportivo Cuenca 27%.

How many goals are expected in Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca?

The model expects 2.19 goals (Manta FC 1.25 · Deportivo Cuenca 0.95), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.