Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 02/11, 21:30

Prediction: Orense vs Tecnico Universitario

Team pages: Orense · Tecnico Universitario

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

Orense1.67

Tecnico Universitario1.03

1X2

51% 28% 22%

Orense Draw Tecnico Universitario

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Orense 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLLDDW

Tecnico Universitario 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWDLLW

Head-to-head

Orense 2–1–3 Tecnico Universitario (6 last)

Orense1-2Tecnico Universitario
Tecnico Universitario1-1Orense
Tecnico Universitario1-2Orense
Orense2-1Tecnico Universitario
Orense0-2Tecnico Universitario
Tecnico Universitario1-0Orense

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Orense 1473 · Tecnico Universitario 1479

	Orense	Draw	Tecnico Universitario
Our model	51%	27%	22%
Market	50%	28%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tecnico Universitario: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Orense	Tecnico Universitario
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.1	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.3	2.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	4.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.25

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.49 ★
2	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 4.48

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.4% Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:22 +3’	1.83	3.25	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:04 +39’	1.78	3.49	4.48

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Orense 2–1–3 Tecnico Universitario

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/07/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Orense	1-2 HT 0-0	Tecnico Universitario
28/02/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Tecnico Universitario	1-1 HT 0-1	Orense
08/07/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Tecnico Universitario	1-2 HT 0-0	Orense
11/03/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Orense	2-1 HT 1-0	Tecnico Universitario
10/11/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Orense	0-2 HT 0-2	Tecnico Universitario
21/05/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Tecnico Universitario	1-0 HT 1-0	Orense

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Serie A 2026, Relegation Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Cuenca	34	12	8	14	30	39	44
2	Mushuc Runa	34	9	13	12	39	46	40
3	Orense	34	10	8	16	42	50	38
4	Tecnico Universitario	34	11	3	20	33	46	36
5	Delfin SC	34	9	8	17	27	40	35
6	Manta FC	34	7	6	21	22	49	27

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Orense	Tecnico Universitario
Delfin SC	4-0 W	1-1 D
Mushuc Runa	1-1 D	3-0 W
Deportivo Cuenca	0-0 D	1-2 L
Manta FC	1-2 L	0-1 L
Guayaquil City	4-3 W	2-3 L
Leones FC	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Orense (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Orense

WLLLWLLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	2-0	4-0	3	5	W
19/10	Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
11/10	Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
21/09	Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-2	1-2	5	8	L
15/09	Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-2	1-2	3	2	L
08/09	Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	2-2	4-3	6	4	W
03/09	Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
30/08	Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-2	1-2	5	2	L
23/08	Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-2	0-3	6	4	L
16/08	Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	2-0	4	2	W

Tecnico Universitario

LLWLLWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	2-0	3-0	2	3	W
16/10	Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
10/10	Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
20/09	Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
13/09	Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
05/09	LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-0	1-3	4	2	L
01/09	Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-1	0-1	2	10	L
29/08	Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	2-1	3-1	4	4	W
22/08	Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-0	2-3	4	6	L
16/08	Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-2	1-2	8	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Orense vs Tecnico Universitario?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Orense win (51%). Probabilities: Orense 51%, draw 28%, Tecnico Universitario 22%.

How many goals are expected in Orense vs Tecnico Universitario?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Orense 1.67 · Tecnico Universitario 1.03), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Orense vs Tecnico Universitario?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.