Prediction: Fardu Ferghana vs Metallurg Bekabad
Team pages: Fardu Ferghana · Metallurg Bekabad
- Metallurg Bekabad7-0Fardu Ferghana
| Fardu Ferghana | Draw | Metallurg Bekabad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 25% | 49% |
| Market | 26% | 24% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Metallurg Bekabad (rating 1534 vs 1593).
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fardu Ferghana | Metallurg Bekabad | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.2 | 2.2 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 43/29/29% | 80/0/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 4.8 | 1.8 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fardu Ferghana 0–0–1 Metallurg Bekabad
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/26 Uzbekistan 1st Division | Metallurg Bekabad | 7-0 HT 3-0 | Fardu Ferghana |
Standings · Uzbekistan 1st Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Orol Nukus | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 49 | 14 | 58 |
| 2 | Shurtan | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 46 |
| 3 | Metallurg Bekabad | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 50 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Gazalkent | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 41 |
| 5 | Fardu Ferghana | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 39 | 32 | 40 |
| 6 | FC Lochin | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 38 | 30 | 39 |
| 7 | Kattaqorgon | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 37 |
| 8 | Olympic Mobiuz | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 39 | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Respublika FA | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 32 | 29 |
| 10 | FC Yaypan Fergana | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 40 | 25 |
| 11 | Jayxun | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 24 | 32 | 24 |
| 12 | BuxDu | 22 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 19 | 56 | 10 |
| 13 | Pakhtakor Tashkent II | 22 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 16 | 51 | 10 |
| 14 | PFC Terdu | 22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 12 | 54 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fardu Ferghana | Metallurg Bekabad |
|---|---|---|
| Olympic Mobiuz | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| BuxDu | 3-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Respublika FA | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| FK Orol Nukus | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Shurtan | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Jayxun | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Pakhtakor Tashkent II | 5-1 W | 1-0 W |
| PFC Terdu | 5-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 3 D 0 L | 6 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fardu Ferghana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Kattaqorgon Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 07/10 | Olympic Mobiuz Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 22/09 | BuxDu Uzbekistan 1st Division |
3-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Respublika FA Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/09 | FK Orol Nukus Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 28/08 | Gazalkent Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | Shurtan Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 14/08 | Jayxun Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 09/08 | Pakhtakor Tashkent II Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 5-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 04/08 | PFC Terdu Uzbekistan 1st Division |
2-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Metallurg Bekabad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Shurtan Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | Jayxun Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/09 | Pakhtakor Tashkent II Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 02/09 | Olympic Mobiuz Uzbekistan 1st Division |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/08 | BuxDu Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 20/08 | PFC Terdu Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Respublika FA Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 10/08 | FC Yaypan Fergana Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 05/08 | FK Orol Nukus Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 31/07 | FC Lochin Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fardu Ferghana vs Metallurg Bekabad?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Metallurg Bekabad win (50%). Probabilities: Fardu Ferghana 26%, draw 24%, Metallurg Bekabad 50%.
How many goals are expected in Fardu Ferghana vs Metallurg Bekabad?
The model expects 3.1 goals (Fardu Ferghana 1.27 · Metallurg Bekabad 1.82), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Fardu Ferghana vs Metallurg Bekabad?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.