Football · Uzbekistan 1st Division · 29/10, 11:00

Prediction: Kattaqorgon vs Olympic Mobiuz

Team pages: Kattaqorgon · Olympic Mobiuz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

Kattaqorgon1.63

Olympic Mobiuz1.23

1X2

46% 26% 28%

Kattaqorgon Draw Olympic Mobiuz

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Kattaqorgon 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Olympic Mobiuz 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Kattaqorgon 0–1–0 Olympic Mobiuz (1 last)

Olympic Mobiuz0-0Kattaqorgon

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kattaqorgon 1519 · Olympic Mobiuz 1526

	Kattaqorgon	Draw	Olympic Mobiuz
Our model	46%	27%	28%
Market	46%	26%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kattaqorgon	Olympic Mobiuz
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.4	1.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/67/0%	0/43/57%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.8	1.8 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.5	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.50

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:07 +19’	1.95	3.50	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kattaqorgon 0–1–0 Olympic Mobiuz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/05/26 Uzbekistan 1st Division	Olympic Mobiuz	0-0 HT 0-0	Kattaqorgon

Standings · Uzbekistan 1st Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Orol Nukus	24	18	4	2	49	15	58
2	Shurtan	24	15	4	5	41	23	49
3	Metallurg Bekabad	24	14	6	4	53	19	48
4	Fardu Ferghana	24	12	7	5	41	34	43
5	Gazalkent	24	12	6	6	45	29	42
6	Kattaqorgon	23	12	4	7	32	24	40
7	FC Lochin	24	11	6	7	39	32	39
8	Olympic Mobiuz	23	11	6	6	46	28	39
9	Respublika FA	24	8	6	10	34	36	30
10	Jayxun	24	7	4	13	26	34	25
11	FC Yaypan Fergana	24	7	4	13	28	45	25
12	BuxDu	24	5	1	18	25	56	16
13	Pakhtakor Tashkent II	24	4	1	19	18	54	13
14	PFC Terdu	24	1	1	22	12	60	4

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kattaqorgon	Olympic Mobiuz
FC Yaypan Fergana	1-0 W	4-2 W
FC Lochin	4-4 D	1-2 L
Fardu Ferghana	3-0 W	2-2 D
BuxDu	2-0 W	2-1 W
Respublika FA	1-3 L	2-2 D
FK Orol Nukus	0-1 L	2-1 W
Gazalkent	2-4 L	1-0 W
Shurtan	0-1 L	0-0 D
Jayxun	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 4 L	5 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Olympic Mobiuz (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kattaqorgon

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FC Yaypan Fergana Uzbekistan 1st Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
18/10	FC Lochin Uzbekistan 1st Division	–	4-4	–	–	D
12/10	Fardu Ferghana Uzbekistan 1st Division	2-0	3-0	4	6	W
13/09	BuxDu Uzbekistan 1st Division	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
07/09	Respublika FA Uzbekistan 1st Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
27/08	FK Orol Nukus Uzbekistan 1st Division	0-0	0-1	1	9	L
21/08	Gazalkent Uzbekistan 1st Division	–	2-4	5	3	L
15/08	Shurtan Uzbekistan 1st Division	–	0-1	6	1	L
09/08	Jayxun Uzbekistan 1st Division	–	2-1	2	5	W
04/08	Pakhtakor Tashkent II Uzbekistan 1st Division	–	2-0	–	–	W

Olympic Mobiuz

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	FC Yaypan Fergana Uzbekistan 1st Division	1-1	4-2	1	3	W
16/10	Respublika FA Uzbekistan 1st Division	1-1	2-2	2	1	D
12/10	FC Lochin Uzbekistan 1st Division	0-1	1-2	2	7	L
07/10	Fardu Ferghana Uzbekistan 1st Division	0-1	2-2	8	2	D
06/09	BuxDu Uzbekistan 1st Division	0-1	2-1	6	5	W
02/09	Metallurg Bekabad Uzbekistan 1st Division	1-2	2-3	7	4	L
20/08	FK Orol Nukus Uzbekistan 1st Division	1-1	2-1	4	5	W
14/08	Gazalkent Uzbekistan 1st Division	–	1-0	5	6	W
10/08	Shurtan Uzbekistan 1st Division	–	0-0	4	2	D
05/08	Jayxun Uzbekistan 1st Division	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kattaqorgon vs Olympic Mobiuz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kattaqorgon win (46%). Probabilities: Kattaqorgon 46%, draw 26%, Olympic Mobiuz 28%.

How many goals are expected in Kattaqorgon vs Olympic Mobiuz?

The model expects 2.85 goals (Kattaqorgon 1.63 · Olympic Mobiuz 1.23), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kattaqorgon vs Olympic Mobiuz?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.