Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 24/10, 21:00

Prediction: Orense vs Delfin SC

Team pages: Orense · Delfin SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.3Total

Orense1.42

Delfin SC0.88

1X2

49% 29% 22%

Orense Draw Delfin SC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Orense 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLLWLLDD

Delfin SC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLLLWLDDWW

Head-to-head

Orense 2–4–0 Delfin SC (6 last)

Delfin SC1-1Orense
Orense0-0Delfin SC
Orense3-1Delfin SC
Delfin SC0-0Orense
Orense0-0Delfin SC
Delfin SC0-1Orense

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Orense 1464 · Delfin SC 1522

	Orense	Draw	Delfin SC
Our model	48%	30%	22%
Market	49%	29%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Delfin SC (rating 1464 vs 1522).
H2H favours Orense: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Orense	Delfin SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.5	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.2	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.4	2.7 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	4.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.25

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 19:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.90▲	Pinn 1.94
X	3.40 → 3.25▼	Pinn 3.33 ★
2	4.75 → 4.10▼	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 7.8% Pinnacle margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:24 +1’	1.73	3.40	4.75
03:15 +1’	1.75▲	3.40	4.50▼
19:31 +7’	1.90▲	3.25▼	4.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:53 +1465’	1.93	3.37	3.93
08:47 +25’	1.94▲	3.33▼	3.95▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Orense 2–4–0 Delfin SC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
09/08/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Delfin SC	1-1 HT 1-0	Orense
19/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Orense	0-0 HT 0-0	Delfin SC
26/08/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Orense	3-1 HT 1-1	Delfin SC
04/05/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Delfin SC	0-0 HT 0-0	Orense
01/11/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Orense	0-0 HT 0-0	Delfin SC
12/05/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Delfin SC	0-1 HT 0-0	Orense

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Serie A 2026, Relegation Round

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Cuenca	33	11	8	14	28	39	41
2	Mushuc Runa	33	9	13	11	39	43	40
3	Delfin SC	33	9	8	16	27	36	35
4	Orense	33	9	8	16	38	50	35
5	Tecnico Universitario	33	10	3	20	30	46	33
6	Manta FC	33	7	6	20	22	47	27

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Orense	Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa	1-1 D	3-2 W
Manta FC	1-2 L	4-2 W
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador	1-2 L	0-1 L
Barcelona Guayaquil	0-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Delfin SC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Orense

DWLLLWLLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
11/10	Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
21/09	Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-2	1-2	5	8	L
15/09	Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-2	1-2	3	2	L
08/09	Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	2-2	4-3	6	4	W
03/09	Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
30/08	Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-2	1-2	5	2	L
23/08	Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-2	0-3	6	4	L
16/08	Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
09/08	Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-1	1-1	4	6	D

Delfin SC

DLLLWLDDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	2-2	4-2	6	5	W
09/10	Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	2-2	3-2	2	4	W
20/09	Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
14/09	Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
06/09	Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-1	8	0	L
01/09	Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-0	1-0	7	10	W
28/08	Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
23/08	SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
15/08	Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-3	2-3	5	4	L
09/08	Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-0	1-1	3	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Orense vs Delfin SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Orense win (49%). Probabilities: Orense 49%, draw 29%, Delfin SC 22%.

How many goals are expected in Orense vs Delfin SC?

The model expects 2.3 goals (Orense 1.42 · Delfin SC 0.88), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Orense vs Delfin SC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.