Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 27/10, 20:45

Prediction: Enfield Town vs Chatham Town

Team pages: Enfield Town · Chatham Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.59Total

Enfield Town2.01

Chatham Town1.58

1X2

46% 24% 29%

Enfield Town Draw Chatham Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Enfield Town 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWWWWD

Chatham Town 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLWLWW

Head-to-head

Enfield Town 1–1–1 Chatham Town (3 last)

Chatham Town0-3Enfield Town
Enfield Town2-2Chatham Town
Chatham Town3-1Enfield Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Enfield Town 1593 · Chatham Town 1528

	Enfield Town	Draw	Chatham Town
Our model	47%	23%	30%
Market	46%	25%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Enfield Town (rating 1593 vs 1528).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Enfield Town	Chatham Town
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 1.4	2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.7	1 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/17/17%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.7	2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0.2	1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.60

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:06 +3’	1.95	3.60	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Enfield Town 1–1–1 Chatham Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/05/24 England Ryman Premier Division	Chatham Town	0-3 HT 0-0	Enfield Town
27/04/24 England Ryman Premier Division	Enfield Town	2-2	Chatham Town
25/11/23 England Isthmian Premier Division	Chatham Town	3-1	Enfield Town

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	12	9	1	2	33	16	28
2	Welling	13	9	0	4	26	15	27
3	Lewes	13	8	2	3	20	14	26
4	Dartford	13	8	0	5	19	17	24
5	Ramsgate	13	7	1	5	29	17	22
6	Eastbourne Borough	11	7	1	3	21	11	22
7	Carshalton Ath	15	7	1	7	23	28	22
8	Chatham Town	12	7	0	5	26	16	21
9	Burgess Hill Town	12	5	5	2	23	17	20
10	Wingate & Finchley	12	6	2	4	24	23	20
11	Dulwich	13	5	3	5	21	21	18
12	St Albans	9	5	2	2	18	13	17
13	Leatherhead	10	4	3	3	18	17	15
14	AFC Whyteleafe	14	4	3	7	22	25	15
15	Cheshunt	13	3	6	4	12	18	15
16	Aveley	13	4	2	7	20	21	14
17	Maldon Tiptree FC	15	4	2	9	19	36	14
18	Cray Wanderers	9	3	3	3	19	14	12
19	Brentwood Town	11	4	0	7	18	19	12
20	Three Bridges	13	2	3	8	23	36	9
21	Stanway Rovers	13	2	1	10	12	32	7
22	Whitehawk	13	1	3	9	12	32	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Enfield Town	Chatham Town
Dulwich	3-0 W	4-0 W
Dartford	0-2 L	0-1 L
Wingate & Finchley	4-1 W	2-3 L
Whitehawk	5-1 W	3-0 W
Brentwood Town	3-1 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Chatham Town (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Enfield Town

WWWWLWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-3	–	–	D
12/10	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
10/10	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	3-0	5	0	W
06/10	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
26/09	Hanwell Town England FA Trophy	–	4-2	–	–	W
15/09	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-2	6	1	L
12/09	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
31/08	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	2-1	4-1	5	1	W
29/08	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	3-1	5-1	1	3	W
22/08	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-1	–	–	W

Chatham Town

WLLWLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
20/10	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	2-0	4-0	6	0	W
17/10	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
10/10	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
26/09	Berkhamsted England FA Trophy	–	1-3	–	–	L
15/09	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
12/09	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
31/08	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
29/08	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
22/08	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Enfield Town vs Chatham Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Enfield Town win (46%). Probabilities: Enfield Town 46%, draw 24%, Chatham Town 29%.

How many goals are expected in Enfield Town vs Chatham Town?

The model expects 3.59 goals (Enfield Town 2.01 · Chatham Town 1.58), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Enfield Town vs Chatham Town?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.