Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 03/11, 20:45

Prediction: Lewes vs Dartford

Team pages: Lewes · Dartford

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

Lewes1.32

Dartford1.56

1X2

32% 26% 42%

Lewes Draw Dartford

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Lewes 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWWWDD

Dartford 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLWLLL

Head-to-head

Lewes 3–2 Dartford (5 last)

Dartford4-1Lewes
Lewes1-0Dartford
Lewes3-1Dartford
Dartford2-0Lewes
Lewes2-1Dartford

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lewes 1542 · Dartford 1520

	Lewes	Draw	Dartford
Our model	31%	27%	42%
Market	32%	25%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Lewes: 3-0-2.
High corners: 13.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lewes	Dartford
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.1	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/67/0%	38/38/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 8	2.3 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	4.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.60

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:12 +3’	2.80	3.60	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lewes 3–0–2 Dartford

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Dartford	4-1	Lewes
06/12/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Lewes	1-0	Dartford
08/03/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Lewes	3-1	Dartford
23/11/24 England Isthmian Premier Division	Dartford	2-0 HT 1-0	Lewes
07/08/21 Club Friendly List	Lewes	2-1 HT 1-0	Dartford

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	14	11	1	2	43	16	34
2	Welling	15	11	0	4	31	15	33
3	Eastbourne Borough	13	9	1	3	25	12	28
4	Lewes	14	8	3	3	22	16	27
5	Dartford	14	8	0	6	22	21	24
6	St Albans	11	7	2	2	24	15	23
7	Ramsgate	14	7	1	6	29	19	22
8	Carshalton Ath	16	7	1	8	23	32	22
9	Chatham Town	14	7	0	7	27	23	21
10	Wingate & Finchley	13	6	3	4	26	25	21
11	Dulwich	15	6	3	6	25	26	21
12	Burgess Hill Town	14	5	5	4	24	26	20
13	Leatherhead	12	5	3	4	25	20	18
14	AFC Whyteleafe	15	5	3	7	26	27	18
15	Cheshunt	15	4	6	5	17	23	18
16	Aveley	14	5	2	7	24	24	17
17	Maldon Tiptree FC	17	5	2	10	23	39	17
18	Cray Wanderers	10	4	3	3	23	15	15
19	Brentwood Town	13	5	0	8	23	25	15
20	Three Bridges	14	2	3	9	24	39	9
21	Stanway Rovers	14	2	1	11	14	39	7
22	Whitehawk	15	1	3	11	14	37	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lewes	Dartford
Wingate & Finchley	2-2 D	2-1 W
Whitehawk	1-0 W	2-1 W
Carshalton Ath	3-0 W	3-0 W
Chatham Town	2-3 L	1-0 W
Aveley	2-0 W	3-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Dartford (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lewes

WWLWLWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
17/10	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	1-1	10	4	D
13/10	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
10/10	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	2-1	2-1	6	4	W
03/10	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
19/09	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
15/09	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
12/09	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
31/08	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W

Dartford

LWWWWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-4	–	–	L
20/10	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
17/10	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	1-2	8	5	L
10/10	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-1	7	6	W
06/10	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	1-2	1-2	5	2	L
29/09	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
15/09	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
12/09	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	2-0	3-0	6	5	W
31/08	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
28/08	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	1-2	3	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lewes vs Dartford?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Dartford win (42%). Probabilities: Lewes 32%, draw 26%, Dartford 42%.

How many goals are expected in Lewes vs Dartford?

The model expects 2.88 goals (Lewes 1.32 · Dartford 1.56), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Lewes vs Dartford?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.