Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 03/11, 20:45

Prediction: Brentwood Town vs Leatherhead

Team pages: Brentwood Town · Leatherhead

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.98Total

Brentwood Town2.21

Leatherhead1.77

1X2

47% 23% 30%

Brentwood Town Draw Leatherhead

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Brentwood Town 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Leatherhead 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLWDDLLW

Head-to-head

Brentwood Town 1–1 Leatherhead (2 last)

Leatherhead1-0Brentwood Town
Brentwood Town4-1Leatherhead

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brentwood Town 1494 · Leatherhead 1494

	Brentwood Town	Draw	Leatherhead
Our model	48%	22%	31%
Market	47%	24%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.98 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brentwood Town	Leatherhead
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2.1	1.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.5	0 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/25/50%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 7	2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.3	1.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.75

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:08 +8’	1.91	3.75	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Brentwood Town 1–0–1 Leatherhead

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/12/15 England Isthmian Premier Division	Leatherhead	1-0	Brentwood Town
29/08/15 England Isthmian Premier Division	Brentwood Town	4-1	Leatherhead

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	14	11	1	2	43	16	34
2	Welling	15	11	0	4	31	15	33
3	Eastbourne Borough	13	9	1	3	25	12	28
4	Lewes	14	8	3	3	22	16	27
5	Dartford	14	8	0	6	22	21	24
6	St Albans	11	7	2	2	24	15	23
7	Ramsgate	14	7	1	6	29	19	22
8	Carshalton Ath	16	7	1	8	23	32	22
9	Chatham Town	14	7	0	7	27	23	21
10	Wingate & Finchley	13	6	3	4	26	25	21
11	Dulwich	15	6	3	6	25	26	21
12	Burgess Hill Town	14	5	5	4	24	26	20
13	Leatherhead	12	5	3	4	25	20	18
14	AFC Whyteleafe	15	5	3	7	26	27	18
15	Cheshunt	15	4	6	5	17	23	18
16	Aveley	14	5	2	7	24	24	17
17	Maldon Tiptree FC	17	5	2	10	23	39	17
18	Cray Wanderers	10	4	3	3	23	15	15
19	Brentwood Town	13	5	0	8	23	25	15
20	Three Bridges	14	2	3	9	24	39	9
21	Stanway Rovers	14	2	1	11	14	39	7
22	Whitehawk	15	1	3	11	14	37	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brentwood Town	Leatherhead
Cheshunt	4-2 W	1-2 L
AFC Whyteleafe	2-1 W	0-0 D
Maldon Tiptree FC	5-1 W	1-4 L
Stanway Rovers	2-3 L	7-2 W
Dulwich	1-2 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Brentwood Town (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brentwood Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-4	–	–	L
27/10	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-2	–	–	W
20/10	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
10/10	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
30/09	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
22/09	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	2-1	5-1	10	2	W
15/09	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	1-3	2-3	9	2	L
12/09	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
29/08	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
22/08	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-3	–	–	L

Leatherhead

DLWLWDDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	7-2	–	–	W
27/10	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-1	4	1	L
10/10	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
22/09	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-3	–	–	D
15/09	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
12/09	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
31/08	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
29/08	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
22/08	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-4	–	–	L
15/08	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brentwood Town vs Leatherhead?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brentwood Town win (47%). Probabilities: Brentwood Town 47%, draw 23%, Leatherhead 30%.

How many goals are expected in Brentwood Town vs Leatherhead?

The model expects 3.98 goals (Brentwood Town 2.21 · Leatherhead 1.77), with a 60% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Brentwood Town vs Leatherhead?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.