Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 27/10, 20:45

Prediction: Maldon Tiptree FC vs Eastbourne Borough

Team pages: Maldon Tiptree FC · Eastbourne Borough

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Maldon Tiptree FC1.19

Eastbourne Borough2.1

1X2

20% 22% 57%

Maldon Tiptree FC Draw Eastbourne Borough

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Maldon Tiptree FC 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLDWD

Eastbourne Borough 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWWWW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maldon Tiptree FC 1441 · Eastbourne Borough 1582

	Maldon Tiptree FC	Draw	Eastbourne Borough
Our model	20%	23%	57%
Market	21%	22%	58%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eastbourne Borough (rating 1441 vs 1582).
High corners: 19.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Maldon Tiptree FC	Eastbourne Borough
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.5	2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.5	2 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/25/50%	100/0/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	9 / 15
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.3	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.33

X4.10

21.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.88

2 (-1)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
14:22 +3’	4.33	4.10	1.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	12	9	1	2	33	16	28
2	Welling	13	9	0	4	26	15	27
3	Lewes	13	8	2	3	20	14	26
4	Dartford	13	8	0	5	19	17	24
5	Ramsgate	13	7	1	5	29	17	22
6	Eastbourne Borough	11	7	1	3	21	11	22
7	Carshalton Ath	15	7	1	7	23	28	22
8	Chatham Town	12	7	0	5	26	16	21
9	Burgess Hill Town	12	5	5	2	23	17	20
10	Wingate & Finchley	12	6	2	4	24	23	20
11	Dulwich	13	5	3	5	21	21	18
12	St Albans	9	5	2	2	18	13	17
13	Leatherhead	10	4	3	3	18	17	15
14	AFC Whyteleafe	14	4	3	7	22	25	15
15	Cheshunt	13	3	6	4	12	18	15
16	Aveley	13	4	2	7	20	21	14
17	Maldon Tiptree FC	15	4	2	9	19	36	14
18	Cray Wanderers	9	3	3	3	19	14	12
19	Brentwood Town	11	4	0	7	18	19	12
20	Three Bridges	13	2	3	8	23	36	9
21	Stanway Rovers	13	2	1	10	12	32	7
22	Whitehawk	13	1	3	9	12	32	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Maldon Tiptree FC	Eastbourne Borough
Lewes	1-1 D	0-1 L
Welling	0-1 L	1-0 W
Cray Wanderers	1-5 L	1-2 L
Brentwood Town	1-5 L	3-2 W
Carshalton Ath	2-3 L	4-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Eastbourne Borough (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Maldon Tiptree FC

LLLLLLLDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/10	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-1	5	2	W
17/10	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	1-1	3	4	D
10/10	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
06/10	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
03/10	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-4	–	–	L
29/09	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	0-3	1-5	4	4	L
26/09	Egham England FA Trophy	–	0-2	–	–	L
22/09	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-2	1-5	5	2	L
19/09	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L

Eastbourne Borough

WLLLWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
10/10	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
05/10	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	2-0	4-0	15	3	W
26/09	Welwyn Garden City England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-2	–	–	W
15/09	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
31/08	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
22/08	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maldon Tiptree FC vs Eastbourne Borough?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Eastbourne Borough win (57%). Probabilities: Maldon Tiptree FC 20%, draw 22%, Eastbourne Borough 57%.

How many goals are expected in Maldon Tiptree FC vs Eastbourne Borough?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Maldon Tiptree FC 1.19 · Eastbourne Borough 2.1), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Maldon Tiptree FC vs Eastbourne Borough?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.